Sequencing analysis of circulating dna to detect and monitor autoimmune diseases

ABSTRACT

Systems, methods, and apparatuses are provided for diagnosing auto-immune diseases such as systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) based on the sizes, methylation levels, and/or genomic characteristics of circulating DNA molecules. Patients provide blood or other tissue samples containing cell-free nucleic molecules for analysis. Massively parallel and/or methylation-aware sequencing can be used to determine the sizes and methylation levels of individual DNA molecules and identify the number of molecules originating from different genomic regions. A level of SLE can be estimated based on: the amount of molecules having sizes below a threshold value; the methylation level(s) of the entire genome or portions of the genome; correlations between the sizes and methylation levels of DNA molecules; and/or comparing the representation of DNA molecules in each of a plurality of genomic regions with a reference value for that region, and determining an amount of genomic regions having increased or decreased measured genomic representation.

CROSS-REFERENCES TO RELATED APPLICATIONS

This application claims the benefit of U.S. Provisional Application No.61/880,604, entitled “SEQUENCING ANALYSIS OF CIRCULATING DNA TO DETECTAND MONITOR AUTOIMMUNE DISEASES” and filed Sep. 20, 2013, the entirecontents of which are incorporated herein by reference. This applicationis related to PCT application PCT/AU2013/001088, entitled “Non-InvasiveDetermination Of Methylome Of Fetus Or Tumor From Plasma” and filed Sep.20, 2013, as well as to U.S. application Ser. No. 13/842,209, entitled“Non-Invasive Determination Of Methylome Of Fetus Or Tumor From Plasma”and filed Mar. 15, 2013, the entire contents of which are incorporatedherein by reference.

BACKGROUND

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is an autoimmune disease which iscaused by the ‘self-attack’ by the immune system against the body andresults in inflammation and tissue damage′. It has a strong predilectionin women with a female to male ratio of around 9:1 and peak onset duringchild-bearing years². It can manifest in a chronic manner or be of aform that has recurrent relapses. Unlike other autoimmune diseases suchas multiple sclerosis and type 1 diabetes mellitus, SLE is considered tobe a prototypic systemic autoimmune disease^(3,4). It has the potentialof affecting multiple organ systems including the skin, muscles, bones,lungs, kidneys, cardiovascular and central nervous systems. Renalcomplications, infections, myocardial infarction and central nervoussystem involvement are the major causes of morbidity and even death inSLE patients⁵. The 10-year survival rate is about 70%⁶. The extremelydiverse and variable clinical manifestations present a challenge on theSLE management to clinicians.

SLE is characterized by the loss of immunologic self-tolerance andproduction of autoantibodies. Serum anti-double-stranded (ds) DNAantibody titer of SLE patients is used as a serologic means to assessthe disease activity. However, about 30% SLE patients are negative forthis test even during the active stage. On the other hand, positiveanti-ds DNA antibody has been reported in patients with other diseases,such as rheumatoid arthritis and certain dermatologic disorders^(7,8).

The etiology of SLE remains enigmatic⁹; however cell death has beenregarded as an important event in the pathogenesis of SLE as it leads tothe release of antigens, such as nucleic acids, for immune complexformation which may trigger a cascade of immune responses against thebody of the SLE patients¹⁰⁻¹⁴. In fact, defects in the mechanism of celldeath including accelerated apoptosis of lymphocytes andmacrophages^(15,16), impairment in the clearance of dead cells¹⁷ anddeficiency in DNase activity^(18,19) have been implicated in SLE andsuggested to result in the generation of extra-cellularauto-antigens¹¹⁻¹⁴.

SLE was one of the pathological conditions reported to be associatedwith the presence of circulating DNA²⁰. Since then, studies usingvarious methods have consistently demonstrated elevations of circulatingDNA in SLE patients²¹⁻²³. In addition, some early reports havehighlighted that the circulating DNA that form immune complexes withauto-antibodies in SLE patients display a characteristic fragmentationpattern which resembles the DNA laddering pattern of apoptosis by gelelectrophoresis²⁴⁻²⁶. These findings have implicated the associationbetween the pathogenesis of SLE, apoptosis and circulating nucleicacids. However, further studies on the biological and pathophysiologicalcharacteristics of circulating nucleic acids in SLE were few.

BRIEF SUMMARY

Embodiments provide systems, methods, and apparatuses for diagnosing SLEbased on the sizes and/or methylation levels and/or genomicrepresentations and/or genomic characteristics of circulating DNAmolecules. Examples are provided. In some embodiments, massivelyparallel sequencing or an alternative method is used to determine thesizes of DNA molecules, which can be compared with a threshold value.Compared with a healthy patient, an SLE patient presents a higherpercentage of DNA molecules with sizes less than the threshold value, ora higher ratio of shorter DNA molecules to longer DNA molecules. Inother embodiments, bisulfite sequencing data are used to obtain themethylation density of the entire genome or portions thereof. Portionscan include all repeat and/or non-repeat regions, or regions of equalsize or different size for the regions. Decreased methylation(hypomethylation) in the genome, as detected in circulating DNA,correlates with the occurrence of SLE in patients or the exacerbation ofdisease activity.

In one embodiment, one can include additional steps that can distinguish5-methylcytosine from 5-hydroxymethylcytosine. One such approach isoxidative bisulfite sequencing (oxBS-seq), which can elucidate thelocation of 5-methylcytosine and 5-hydroxymethylcytosine at single-baseresolution^(27,28). In bisulfite sequencing, both 5-methylcytosine from5-hydroxymethylcytosine are read as cytosines and thus cannot bediscriminated. On the other hand, in oxBS-seq, specific oxidation of5-hydroxymethylcytosine to 5-formylcytosine by treatment with potassiumperruthenate (KRuO4), followed by the conversion of the newly formed5-formylcytosine to uracil using bisulfite conversion can allow5-hydroxymethylcytosine to be distinguished from 5-methylcytosine.Hence, a readout of 5-methylcytosine is obtained from a single oxBS-seqrun, and 5-hydroxymethylcytosine levels are deduced by comparison withthe bisulfite sequencing results. In another embodiment,5-methylcytosine can be distinguished from 5-hydroxymethylcytosine usingTet-assisted bisulfite sequencing (TAB-seq)²⁹. TAB-seq can identify5-hydroxymethylcytosine at single-base resolution, as well as determineits abundance at each modification site. This method involvesf3-glucosyltransferase-mediated protection of 5-hydroxymethylcytosine(glucosylation) and recombinant mouse Tet1 (mTet1)-mediated oxidation of5-methylcytosine to 5-carboxylcytosine. After the subsequent bisulfitetreatment and PCR amplification, both cytosine and 5-carboxylcytosine(derived from 5-methylcytosine) are converted to thymine (T), whereas5-hydroxymethylcytosine will be read as C. In yet other embodiments,selected single molecule sequencing platforms allow the methylationstatus of DNA molecules to be elucidated directly without bisulfiteconversion^(30,31). The use of such platforms allows the non-bisulfiteconverted plasma DNA to be used to determine the methylation levels ofplasma DNA or to determine the plasma methylome. Such platforms candetect N6-methyladenine, 5-methylcytosine and 5-hydroxymethylcytosine.

In still other embodiments, the sizes and methylation levels of DNAmolecules in a biological sample are both determined, and SLE isdiagnosed when DNA molecules falling within a certain size range exhibitreduced methylation. In yet other embodiments, the genomicrepresentation and/or other genomic characteristics are determined,either alone or in combination with the sizes and/or methylation levelsof DNA molecules in the biological sample.

Accordingly, embodiments show that circulating nucleic acids of the SLEpatients can exhibit characteristic molecular signatures. Thedysregulation of apoptosis and production of autoantibodies againstnucleic acids can lead to altered biological characteristics andclearance mechanisms of circulating nucleic acids. Furthermore,inflammation and apoptosis of cells from different organ systems canresult in distinguishable characteristic profiles of circulating nucleicacids that can reveal the involvements and extents of damage ofdifferent organs in SLE patients.

The discussion below shows a delineation of the genome-widecharacteristics of circulating nucleic acids in the plasma of SLEpatients at an unprecedented high level of resolution with the use ofmassively parallel sequencing technology and hence develop newdiagnostic and monitoring tools for SLE. In addition to plasma, serumcan also be used in a similar fashion. The sequencing or other type ofanalyses can be performed using a range of methylation-aware platforms,including but not limited to massively parallel sequencing, singlemolecular sequencing, microarray (e.g. oligonucleotide arrays), or massspectrometry (such as the Epityper, Sequenom, Inc., analysis). In someembodiments, such analyses may be preceded by procedures that aresensitive to the methylation status of DNA molecules, including, but notlimited to, cytosine immunoprecipitation and methylation-awarerestriction enzyme digestion.

Other embodiments are directed to systems and computer readable mediaassociated with methods described herein.

A better understanding of the nature and advantages of embodiments ofthe present invention may be gained with reference to the followingdetailed description and the accompanying drawings.

BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS

FIG. 1 shows the size profiles of circulating DNA molecules in theplasma of 10 healthy individuals.

FIG. 2 shows the size profiles of circulating DNA molecules in theplasma of 20 SLE patients.

FIG. 3 shows the size profiles of circulating DNA molecules in theplasma of group I (quiescent) SLE patients, who have Systemic LupusErythematosus Disease Activity Index (SLEDAI) less than 4.

FIG. 4 shows the size profiles of circulating DNA molecules in theplasma of group II SLE patients, who have mild disease activity andSLEDAI between 4 and 6.

FIG. 5 shows the size profiles of circulating DNA molecules in theplasma of group III SLE patients, who have moderate or high diseaseactivity and SLEDAI over 6.

FIG. 6 shows a correlation between the percentage of DNA moleculeshaving sizes less than or equal to 115 bp in the plasma of a patient,and the level of SLE disease activity as reflected by SLEDAI in thepatient for a group of SLE patients.

FIG. 7 shows a correlation between the ratio of the amounts of short (55bp) DNA molecules to long (166 bp) DNA molecules in the plasma of apatient on the one hand, and the level of SLE disease activity asreflected by SLEDAI in the patient on the other hand for a group of SLEpatients.

FIG. 8 shows a correlation between the ratio of the amounts of short (55bp) DNA molecules to long (166 bp) DNA molecules in the plasma of apatient on the one hand, and the anti-DNA antibody titer in the plasmaof the patient on the other hand for a group of SLE patients.

FIG. 9 shows the effects over time of treatments on the size profiles ofcirculating DNA molecules in the plasma of SLE patients.

FIG. 10 is a flowchart illustrating a method 1000 for diagnosing anauto-immune disease based on the sizes of circulating DNA moleculesaccording to embodiments of the present invention.

FIG. 11 shows the overall methylation densities for circulating DNAmolecules in plasma samples obtained from four healthy individuals andnine SLE patients. Each bar represents one individual or patient.

FIG. 12 shows the overall methylation densities, and methylationdensities in repeat and non-repeat regions of the genome, forcirculating DNA molecules in plasma samples obtained from four healthyindividuals and nine SLE patients.

FIG. 13 provides Circos plots illustrating the levels of methylation in1 Mb regions of the plasma genomes of healthy individuals and group ISLE patients. The radial axis in each plot represents methylationdensity. The left-most plot shows methylation densities averaged overmultiple healthy (control) individuals. The green lines in this plotlabeled “+3” and “−3” represent z-scores of +3 and −3, respectively,i.e. methylation densities +3 or −3 standard deviations away from themean of the methylation densities of corresponding 1 Mb regions. Eachremaining plot shows the methylation densities in the genome of a groupI SLE patient. A 1-Mb region in which the methylation density has az-score greater than 3 is considered hypermethylated and is labeledgreen. A 1-Mb region in which the methylation density has a z-score lessthan −3 is considered hypomethylated and is labeled red. The percentagesof genomic regions considered hypermethylated and hypomethylated foreach patient are indicated (M denotes methylation).

FIG. 14 provides Circos plots illustrating the levels of methylation in1-Mb regions of the plasma genomes of group II SLE patients. Each plotcorresponds to one patient. The 1 Mb regions are labeled as in FIG. 12.

FIG. 15 provides Circos plots illustrating the levels of methylation in1-Mb regions of the plasma genomes of group III SLE patients. Each plotcorresponds to one patient. The 1 Mb regions are labeled as in FIG. 12.

FIG. 16 shows a correlation between the overall methylation density inthe plasma genome of a patient (as determined by analyzing circulatingDNA in a plasma sample obtained from the patient), and the level of SLEin that patient.

FIG. 17 shows a correlation between the percentage of regions consideredhypomethylated in the plasma genome of a patient (as determined byanalyzing circulating DNA in a plasma sample obtained from the patient),and the level of SLE in the patient.

FIG. 18 shows a correlation between the overall methylation density inthe plasma genome of a patient (as determined by analyzing circulatingDNA in a plasma sample obtained from the patient), and the anti-DNAantibody titer in the plasma of the patient.

FIG. 19 shows a correlation between the percentage of regions consideredhypomethylated in the plasma genome of a patient (as determined byanalyzing circulating DNA in a plasma sample obtained from the patient),and the anti-DNA antibody titer in the plasma of the patient.

FIG. 20 shows the methylation profiles of plasma DNA and correspondingbuffy coat DNA observed for two representative SLE patients.

FIG. 21 shows a method 2100 for diagnosing an auto-immune disease basedon the methylation of circulating DNA molecules according to embodimentsof the present invention

FIG. 22 shows a method 2200 of identifying hypomethylation orhypermethylation in multiple regions of the genome of an organismaccording to embodiments of the present invention.

FIG. 23 shows the methylation densities of circulating DNA molecules,obtained from plasma samples of group I SLE patients, as a function ofthe sizes of those molecules.

FIG. 24 shows the methylation densities of circulating DNA molecules,obtained from plasma samples of group II SLE patients, as a function ofthe sizes of those molecules.

FIG. 25 shows the methylation densities of circulating DNA molecules,obtained from plasma samples of group III SLE patients, as a function ofthe sizes of those molecules.

FIG. 26 shows a method 2600 for detecting an auto-immune disease in anorganism, e.g. a human patient, based on the methylation levels of DNAmolecules having one or more sizes, according to embodiments of thepresent invention.

FIG. 27 shows a method 2700 for estimating a methylation level of DNA ina biological sample of an organism according to embodiments of thepresent invention.

FIG. 28 shows a method 2800 of analyzing a biological sample of anorganism using a plurality of chromosomal regions according toembodiments of the present invention.

FIG. 29A shows Circos plots demonstrating the CNA (inner ring) andmethylation changes (outer ring) in the bisulfite-treated plasma DNA forHCC patient TBR36. FIG. 29B is a plot of methylation z-scores forregions with chromosomal gains and loss, and regions without copy numberchange for the HCC patient TBR36.

FIG. 30A shows Circos plots demonstrating the CNA (inner ring) andmethylation changes (outer ring) in the bisulfite-treated plasma DNA forHCC patient TBR34. FIG. 30B is a plot of methylation z-scores forregions with chromosomal gains and loss, and regions without copy numberchange for the HCC patient TBR34.

FIGS. 31A and 31B show results of plasma hypomethylation and CNAanalysis for SLE patients SLE04 and SLE10.

FIGS. 32A and 32B show Z_(meth) analysis for regions with and withoutCNA for the plasma of two HCC patients (TBR34 and TBR36). FIGS. 32C and32D show Z_(meth) analysis for regions with and without CNA for theplasma of two SLE patients (SLE04 and SLE10).

FIG. 33 depicts Circos plots showing the genomic distributions of plasmaDNA for a representative case in each of the control, inactive SLE andactive SLE groups in the Example. From inside to outside, the rings showdata from a representative healthy individual (C005), inactive SLEpatient (S011), active SLE patient (S112), and ideograms of the humanchromosomes, respectively. Each dot represents a 1-Mb bin. The green,red and grey dots represent bins with significant increased, decreasedand normal MGRs, respectively. The distance between intervals representsa z-score difference of 5.

FIG. 34 shows genomic and methylomic features of plasma DNA amongsubject groups in the Example. The portion of the figure labeled “MGR”represents the percentage of bins with aberrant MGRs. The portion of thefigure labeled “Size” represents the percentage of short DNA fragments.The portion of the figure labeled “Methylation” represents thepercentage of hypomethylated bins. Statistical comparisons wereperformed by the Kruskal-Wallis test followed by the post-hoc Dunn'stest.

FIG. 35 shows size distributions of plasma DNA molecules ofrepresentative cases for control (C005) (blue), inactive SLE (S081)(green) and active SLE (S082) (red) groups in the Example.

FIG. 36 shows genomewide methylation density of plasma DNA among subjectgroups in the Example. Statistical comparisons were performed by theKruskal-Wallis test followed by the post-hoc Dunn's test.

FIG. 37 shows plasma methylation profile analysis for a representativecase in each of the control, inactive SLE and active SLE groups in theExample. From inside to outside, the rings show data from arepresentative healthy individual (C040), inactive SLE patient (S124),active SLE patient (S027), and ideograms of the human chromosomes,respectively. Each dot shows the methylation density for a 1-Mb bin. Thegreen, red and grey dots represent bins with significanthypermethylation, hypomethylation and normal methylation, respectively.The distance between intervals represents a z-score difference of 5.

FIG. 38 shows a relationship between genomewide methylation density andproportion of short DNA fragments in plasma. Blue, green and red circlesrepresent the cases in the control, inactive SLE and active SLE groupsof the Example, respectively. The correlation coefficient was calculatedby Spearman's correlation analysis.

FIG. 39 shows overall methylation density of plasma DNA of differentsizes among subject groups in the Example. Blue, green and red linesrepresent the median genomewide methylation densities of the control,inactive SLE and active SLE group, respectively.

FIG. 40 shows a relationship between IgG binding index and MGR z-scoreof the SLE cases with high anti-dsDNA antibody levels (S081, S082, S112)in the Example. The correlation coefficient was calculated by Pearson'scorrelation analysis.

FIG. 41 shows size distributions of plasma DNA molecules with andwithout IgG binding in a healthy control (C020). Blue dash, red solidand green solid lines represent the neat, IgG-bound and non-IgG-boundfractions, respectively.

FIG. 42 shows size distributions of plasma DNA molecules with andwithout IgG binding in a healthy control (C021). Blue dash, red solidand green solid lines represent the neat, IgG-bound and non-IgG-boundfractions, respectively.

FIG. 43 shows size distributions of plasma DNA molecules with andwithout IgG binding in an SLE case with low anti-dsDNA antibody levels(S073). Blue dash, red solid and green solid lines represent the neat,IgG-bound and non-IgG-bound fractions, respectively.

FIG. 44 shows size distributions of DNA molecules with and without IgGbinding in plasma of a representative SLE patient (S081) of the Example.Blue dash, red solid and green solid lines show data for the neat,IgG-bound and non-IgG-bound fractions, respectively.

FIG. 45 shows size distributions of plasma DNA molecules with andwithout IgG binding in an SLE case with high antibody levels (S082).Blue dash, red solid and green solid lines represent the neat, IgG-boundand non-IgG-bound fractions, respectively.

FIG. 46 shows size distributions of plasma DNA molecules with andwithout IgG binding in an SLE case with high antibody levels (S112).Blue dash, red solid and green solid lines represent the neat, IgG-boundand non-IgG-bound fractions, respectively.

FIG. 47 shows percentages of short DNA fragments (≦115 bp) in plasma ofSLE patients with high anti-dsDNA antibody levels (S081, S112 and S082).Red, blue and green bars (arranged left to right for each patient)indicate the IgG-bound, neat and non-IgG-bound fractions, respectively.

FIG. 48 shows percentages of significant DNA hypomethylation in plasmaof SLE patients with high anti-dsDNA antibody levels (S124, S203 andS147). Red, blue and green bars (arranged left to right for eachpatient) indicate the IgG-bound, neat and non-IgG-bound fractions,respectively.

FIG. 49 shows a block diagram of an example computer system 4900 usablewith systems and methods according to embodiments of the presentinvention.

DEFINITIONS

A “site” corresponds to a single site, which may be a single baseposition or a group of correlated base positions, e.g., a CpG site. A“locus” may correspond to a region that includes multiple sites. A locuscan include just one site, which would make the locus equivalent to asite in that context.

The “methylation index” for each genomic site (e.g., a CpG site) refersto the proportion of sequence reads showing methylation at the site overthe total number of reads covering that site. The “methylation density”of a region is the number of reads at sites within the region showingmethylation divided by the total number of reads covering the sites inthe region. The sites may have specific characteristics, e.g., being CpGsites. Thus, the “CpG methylation density” of a region is the number ofreads showing CpG methylation divided by the total number of readscovering CpG sites in the region (e.g., a particular CpG site, CpG siteswithin a CpG island, or a larger region). For example, the methylationdensity for each 100-kb bin in the human genome can be determined fromthe total number of cytosines not converted after bisulfite treatment(which corresponds to methylated cytosine) at CpG sites as a proportionof all CpG sites covered by sequence reads mapped to the 100-kb region.This analysis can also be performed for other bin sizes, e.g. 50-kb or1-Mb, etc. A region could be the entire genome or a chromosome or partof a chromosome (e.g. a chromosomal arm). The methylation index of a CpGsite is the same as the methylation density for a region when the regiononly includes that CpG site. The “proportion of methylated cytosines”refers the number of cytosine sites, “C's”, that are shown to bemethylated (for example unconverted after bisulfite conversion) over thetotal number of analyzed cytosine residues, i.e. including cytosinesoutside of the CpG context, in the region. The methylation index,methylation density and proportion of methylated cytosines are examplesof “methylation levels.”

A “methylation profile” (also called methylation status) includesinformation related to DNA methylation for a region. Information relatedto DNA methylation can include, but is not limited to, a methylationindex of a CpG site, a methylation density of CpG sites in a region, adistribution of CpG sites over a contiguous region, a pattern or levelof methylation for each individual CpG site within a region thatcontains more than one CpG site, and non-CpG methylation. The latter caninvolve the methylation of cytosine that precede a base other than G,including A, C or T. A methylation profile of a substantial part of thegenome can be considered equivalent to the methylome. “DNA methylation”in mammalian genomes typically refers to the addition of a methyl groupto the 5′ carbon of cytosine residues (i.e. 5-methylcytosines) among CpGdinucleotides. DNA methylation may occur in cytosines in other contexts,for example CHG and CHH, where H is adenine, cytosine or thymine.Cytosine methylation may also be in the form of 5-hydroxymethylcytosine.Non-cytosine methylation, such as N6-methyladenine, has also beenreported.

A “tissue” corresponds to any cells. Different types of tissue maycorrespond to different types of cells (e.g., liver, lung, or blood),but also may correspond to tissue from different organisms (motherversus fetus) or to healthy cells versus tumor cells. A “biologicalsample” refers to any sample that is taken from a subject (e.g., ahuman, such as a person with SLE, or a person suspected of having SLE,an organ transplant recipient or a subject suspected of having a diseaseprocess involving an organ (e.g. the heart in myocardial infarction, orthe brain in stroke)) and contains one or more nucleic acid molecule(s)of interest. The biological sample can be a bodily fluid, such as blood,plasma, serum, urine, vaginal fluid, uterine or vaginal flushing fluids,pleural fluid, ascitic fluid, cerebrospinal fluid, saliva, sweat, tears,sputum, bronchoalveolar lavage fluid, etc. Stool samples can also beused.

The term “level of SLE” can refer to whether a patient (or organism) hasSLE, the extent of symptoms presented by the patient, or the progress ofSLE in particular organs of the patient or overall. The level of SLE canbe quantitative (i.e., be represented by a number or fall on a numericalscale) or qualitative. The level of SLE can correlate with or berepresented by established metrics of the disease, for example theSystemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index (SLEDAI) or theanti-DNA antibody titer in a particular tissue. SLEDAI is an example ofa score. The level of SLE can also correspond to the groups into whichpatients are sorted or triaged, as discussed below (i.e., quiescent,mild activity, and moderate/high activity).

“Methylation-aware sequencing” refers to sequencing that identifieswhether one or more sites of a nucleic acid molecule are methylated. Oneembodiment of methylation-aware sequencing includes treating DNA withsodium bisulfite and then performing DNA sequencing. In otherembodiments, methylation-aware sequencing can be performed without usingsodium bisulfite, but rather using a single molecule sequencing platformthat allows the methylation status of DNA molecules (includingN6-methyladenine, 5-methylcytosine and 5-hydroxymethylcytosine) to beelucidated directly without bisulfite conversion³⁰′³¹; or through theimmunoprecipitation of methylated cytosine (e.g. by using an antibodyagainst methylcytosine or by using a methylated DNA binding protein)followed by sequencing; or through the use of methylation-sensitiverestriction enzymes followed by sequencing. In still another embodiment,non-sequencing techniques are used, such as arrays, digital PCR and massspectrometry.

DETAILED DESCRIPTION

It has now been discovered that SLE and other auto-immune diseases canbe diagnosed by analyzing patient samples containing cell-free nucleicacid molecules. The samples can be of blood or plasma and containcirculating DNA fragments. In some embodiments, the level of anauto-immune disease is estimated by examining the distribution of sizesof nucleic acid molecules in the sample. Samples with higher abundancesof short molecules, as indicated by the portion of molecules havingsizes within a range or below a threshold value, can indicate a higherlevel of the disease. In other embodiments, the level of a disease isestimated by determining methylation levels of the nucleic acidmolecules. This can be done using methylation-aware sequencing, and ifdesired the sequence of each nucleic acid molecule can be aligned with areference genome sequence. Reduced methylation (i.e., hypomethylation)in select regions or portions of the genome, or in the genome as awhole, as manifested by nucleic acid molecules of the sample, canindicate a higher level of the auto-immune disease. Methylation levelscan be determined for, e.g., individual sites in the genome, individualchromosomes or portions thereof, repeat or non-repeat regions, coding ornon-coding regions, or non-overlapping and/or contiguous bins. Inaddition, in some embodiments the level of the disease is estimatedbased on correlations between the sizes and methylation levels ofnucleic acid molecules in the sample. Reduced or aberrant methylation ofnucleic acid molecules having a particular size or range of sizes, ascompared with a threshold methylation level or with the methylationlevels of molecules having different sizes, can indicate a higher levelof the auto-immune disease. In still other embodiments, the level of anauto-immune disease is estimated based on the measured genomicrepresentations of nucleic acid molecules in a plurality of genomicregions. The number of molecules localizing or aligning to each genomicregion, or another measure of the representation of molecules in theregion, is compared with a reference value to determine whether thegenomic region exhibits increased or decreased (e.g., aberrant) genomicrepresentation. The level of the auto-immune disease is then estimatedby comparing the amount (e.g., number) of genomic regions exhibitingincreased or decreased genomic representation with a threshold amount(e.g., threshold number). Methods, systems, and apparatus are providedfor analyzing biological samples and diagnosing auto-immune diseases.

I. RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN SIZE OF CIRCULATING DNA AND SLE

The acceleration of cell death and impairment of clearance of theby-products of the dead cells associated with SLE may generateextra-cellular DNA and change the characteristics of DNA in thecirculation of SLE patients. In addition, other mechanisms involved inthe pathogenesis of SLE, such as the deficiency of DNase activity andover-production of autoantibodies against DNA, can also alter theintegrity of circulating DNA. It follows that the immune dysregulationof SLE can change the size of circulating DNA in the plasma of SLEpatients. However, due to the paucity of studies in this area, one couldnot predict if plasma DNA is subjected to more or less enzymaticdegradation or whether the anti-ds DNA antibodies would impair theclearance of the long or short plasma DNA molecules. The relativecontributions of these phenomena, if in existence, are not known either.Based on these unpredictable factors, one could not estimate if therewould be more or less of the shorter or longer DNA molecules in plasmaof SLE patients when compared with healthy individuals.

A. Results

We used massively parallel paired-end DNA sequencing analysis todetermine the molecular size distribution of circulating DNA in theplasma of 10 healthy individuals and 20 SLE patients with diseaseactivities ranging from inactive to active. As shown in FIG. 1, the sizeprofile of each of the healthy individuals showed a major peak at 166base pairs (bp) and with smaller peaks occurring at a 10-bp periodicityfrom approximately 143 bp and smaller. However, the size profiles of theSLE patients were altered as illustrated in FIG. 2. We categorized theSLE patients into 3 groups (I, II and III) according to their diseaseactivities and compared the size profiles between the groups. SLEpatients with a higher disease activity can have more short DNA. Group Iincluded the quiescent patients with SLEDAI less than 4. Their sizeprofiles were similar to those of the healthy individuals (FIG. 3).Group II included the patients with mild disease activity and SLEDAIbetween 4 and 6. Their size profiles showed that the 166-bp peaksappeared to be shorter while other peaks (<=143 bp) were higher (FIG.4). Group III included the patients with moderate or high diseaseactivity and SLEDAI over 6. As shown in FIG. 5, their size profilesexhibited the most aberrant size distribution with the greatest extentof reduction of the 166-bp peak but elevation of other peaks. Thisindicated that circulating DNA in plasma of SLE patients appeared to bemore fragmented and had a lower integrity when compared with healthyindividuals.

To further study this phenomenon, we objectively compared thecontribution of short plasma DNA fragments between healthy controls andSLE patients as well as among the SLE patients. For this analysis, weconsidered plasma DNA molecules smaller than 115 bp as short DNA.However, other cutoffs less than 166 bp could be used. As shown in FIG.6, about 10% (mean: 9.7%) of the plasma DNA molecules in healthyindividuals were short DNA; however, the percentages of short DNA in SLEpatients were generally higher with a mean of 23.8%. This percentage canbe over 80% during active disease. Workers in the field have definedactive disease or active SLE to correspond to a SLEDAI above 4 to 6.Others have defined active disease by a worsening in the disease, whenthe SLEDAI increases by 3 to 8 (Ref 32). Furthermore, our analysisshowed a statistically significant correlation between the percentage ofshort DNA and the SLEDAI of SLE patients (Spearman's correlation=0.67,P<0.001). This finding implicated that the increased generation of shortDNA may be associated with the augmentation of immune dysregulation inSLE patients with higher disease activity. Therefore, we also determinedthe ratio of short DNA (55 bp) (other cutoffs could be used) to long DNA(166 bp) and investigated its relationship with the disease activity ofthe patients. As shown in FIG. 7, SLE patients had higher ratios whencompared to healthy individuals and their ratios significantlycorrelated to SLEDAI (Spearman's correlation=0.71, P<0.001). As theelevation of anti-ds DNA antibody level is an important serologicalparameter to indicate SLE exacerbation in current clinical practice, wefurther studied its relationship with the size ratio of plasma DNA. Asshown in FIG. 8, the size ratios also significantly correlated with theantibody levels of SLE patients (Spearman's correlation=0.76, P<0.001).

Furthermore, we studied the effect of treatment response of two activeSLE patients on their plasma DNA size profiles. As shown in FIG. 9,Case#1 had a good treatment response and showed a significant decreasein disease activities from SLEDAI 16 at time-point 1 to SLEDAI 2 attime-point 2. The size profiles clearly exhibited a change from anabnormal to a normal distribution similar to that of healthyindividuals. In contrast, Case#2 did not respond well to the treatmentand the disease activity remained high in the three time-points. Thesize profiles of this case showed a consistently abnormal distributionthroughout the three time-points. Our data suggest that the change insize profile of circulating DNA in plasma of SLE patients correlateswith disease activity and is useful for developing new tools forprognostication, monitoring and assessment of treatment response of SLEpatients.

B. Method Based on Size

FIG. 10 shows a method 1000 for diagnosing an auto-immune disease basedon the sizes of circulating DNA molecules according to embodiments ofthe present invention. Method 1000 involves analyzing a biologicalsample of an organism, the biological sample including nucleic acidmolecules, wherein at least some of the nucleic acid molecules arecell-free. The method includes analyzing a plurality of DNA moleculesfrom the biological sample, wherein analyzing a DNA molecule comprises:determining a size of the DNA molecule (block 1010), and comparing thesize of the DNA molecule with a threshold value (block 1020);determining an amount of the DNA molecules having sizes below thethreshold value (block 1030); and estimating a first level of anauto-immune disease in the organism based upon the amount (block 1040).

The biological sample can be obtained as desired from the organism andcan originate from any kind of tissue. In some embodiments, thebiological sample is a bodily fluid such as blood or plasma. Anyprocessing steps, such as fractionation or purification, can be appliedto the biological sample to obtain a plurality of DNA molecules forsubsequent analysis.

At block 1010, the sizes of DNA molecules are determined. In someembodiments, the sequencing methods (e.g. massively parallel paired-endsequencing) outlined herein are used in this step. In other embodiments,the sizes are determined in the absence of sequencing. For example, thesizes of one or more molecules can be determined using chromatography orgel electrophoresis. Sizes of DNA molecules can generally be determinedas desired, using any available techniques or apparatus. The techniquesneed not provide the sizes of individual DNA molecules, but preferablyprovide information about the distribution of sizes of molecules fromthe biological sample, and the relative abundances of various sizes.

At block 1020, the sizes of DNA molecules in the plurality are comparedwith a threshold value. The threshold value can be chosen as desired andis 115 bp in some embodiments, as discussed above. Other possiblethreshold values include, but are not limited to, 90, 95, 100, 105, 110,120, and 125 bp. The threshold value can be based on data or modelsconcerning the sizes of DNA molecules, for example proposed mechanismsof circulating DNA fragmentation, or reported distributions of cell-freeDNA fragment sizes in different tissue types, patient groups, or diseasestates. Alternatively or in addition, the threshold value can be setempirically, based on the sizes of DNA molecules as determined in thecurrent analysis or previous similar analyses. For example, thethreshold value can reflect periodicity observed in the sizes of DNAmolecules. If distributions of these sizes are peaked, then thethreshold can be chosen relative to one or more peaks. For example, thethreshold can be placed a certain number of base-pairs (e.g., 5, 10, 15,20, 25, 30, 35, 40, 45, 50, 51, 55, or 60) away from one peak, halfwaybetween two peaks, or at a low point between two peaks in thedistribution of sizes.

At block 1030, after comparing the sizes of DNA molecules with thethreshold value, an amount of DNA molecules having sizes below thethreshold value is determined. In some embodiments, the amount is apercentage or fraction. For example, the amount can be the number of DNAmolecules having sizes below the threshold, expressed as a percentage ofall DNA molecules from the biological sample for which sizes aredetermined. Alternatively, the amount can be the number of sequencereads having lengths below the threshold value, as a percentage of thenumber of all sequence reads. If desired, a subset of DNA moleculesand/or sequence reads can be selected for determining the amount. Forexample, the amount can be based on DNA molecules or sequence readsaligning to only a certain portion of the genome, such as one or morechromosomes, or the portion corresponding to coding regions, non-codingregions, repeat regions, or non-repeat regions. As desired, the amountcan be relative to a larger total or absolute. For example, the amountcan be simply the mass or molar quantity of DNA molecules determined tohave sizes below the threshold. The amount can also be the number ofsuch molecules sequenced, or the corresponding number of sequence reads.

At block 1040, the first level of the auto-immune disease in theorganism is then estimated based upon the amount. In some embodiments,the first level is a binary prognosis and the disease is considered tobe present in the organism if the amount exceeds a pre-determinedcutoff. Such a cutoff can be determined as desired, and can correspond adetection limit or a particular level of severity for the disease, forexample. Alternatively or in addition, the first level can correlate todegrees of severity for the disease. In this case, multiple cutoffs canbe determined, and the level of the disease is calculated based on howthe amount of DNA molecules compares with these cutoffs. For example, acutoff of 10% can correspond to a mild form of the disease, while acutoff of 20% can correspond to a severe form. The organism would beestimated to have the mild form if the amount (percentage) of DNAmolecules having sizes below the threshold value falls between ˜10 and20%. The organism would be estimated to have the severe form if theamount exceeds 20%. Without limitation, the auto-immune disease can beSLE, and the first level can be a level of SLE. The first level of thedisease can be estimated in terms of the Systemic Lupus ErythematosusDisease Activity Index (SLEDAI), or the group I-III designationsdiscussed above. The first level of the auto-immune disease can be usedas appropriate, for example to design a treatment regimen for theorganism or determine a dose of a medication.

In some embodiments, method 1000 further includes estimating a secondlevel of an auto-immune disease in the organism. The auto-immunediseases for which the first level and second level are estimated can bethe same disease or different diseases. The second level is generallyestimated by identifying two peaks in the sizes of DNA molecules fromthe biological samples; determining the number of molecules associatedwith each peak; and calculating the ratio of these numbers.

As used herein, “peak” can have the conventional meaning, i.e. a localor absolute maximum of frequency in a distribution, such as thedistribution of sizes for a collection of DNA molecules. “Peak” can alsomean a statistic that summarizes or is representative of thedistribution, irrespective of the shape of the distribution. A peak canbe identified using all DNA molecules from a biological sample or asubset of these molecules. A “peak size” is the size of DNA moleculeswhere a peak in the distribution of sizes is located (for example, wherethe peak is centered). A “peak number” is the number of DNA moleculesassociated with a peak (for example, the number of molecules havingsizes within a certain range of the peak size).

In some embodiments, the method includes the following additional steps.A first peak size of DNA molecules is designated, wherein the first peaksize is less than the threshold value, and a second peak size of DNAmolecules is designated, wherein the second peak size is greater thanthe threshold value. A first peak number is then determined, wherein thefirst peak number is the number of the DNA molecules having sizes withina specified range of the first peak size. Similarly, a second peaknumber is determined, wherein the second peak number is the number ofthe DNA molecules having sizes within a specified range of the secondpeak size. A ratio of the first peak number to the second peak number iscalculated, and a second level of an auto-immune disease in the organismis estimated based upon the ratio.

The first peak size and second peak size can be designated as desired.For example, each peak size can be calculated based on some or allmolecules having sizes below or above the threshold value. In someembodiments, the first peak size is equal to the mean, median, or modesize of the DNA molecules having sizes less than the threshold value,and the second peak size is equal to the mean, median, or mode size ofthe DNA molecules having sizes greater than the threshold value. (Asused herein, “mode size” refers to the most frequently occurring size ina population or subpopulation of DNA molecules.) The peak sizes can alsobe calculated by examining a histogram of sizes determined for DNAmolecules from the sample and finding maxima or other high points inthis histogram below and above the threshold value. If desired, thishistogram can be smoothed prior to calculating one or both peak sizes.The peak sizes can be designated algorithmically or manually. An exampleof the latter would be setting the second peak size to be 166 bp, asdiscussed above, or another value based on previously measureddistributions of sizes for circulating DNA molecules.

The specified range of sizes for each peak, and in turn the peak number,can also be determined as desired. In embodiments, the first peak numberis determined as the number of DNA molecules from the biological samplehaving sizes within 5, 10, 15, 20, 25, 30, 35, 40, 45, or 50 bp of thefirst peak size. Likewise, in some embodiments, the second peak numberis determined as the number of DNA molecules from the biological samplehaving sizes within 5, 10, 15, 20, 25, 30, 35, 40, 45, or 50 bp of thesecond peak size. A peak number can also be determined based on astatistical analysis of the sizes of DNA molecules that are smaller orlarger than the threshold value. For example, the range of sizes for thefirst peak can be equal to the standard deviation of sizes for DNAmolecules smaller than the threshold value, or a multiple (e.g., 0.5,1.5, 2, or 3) of the standard deviation. In addition, a peak number canbe simply the number of DNA molecules having sizes below or above thethreshold value, as appropriate. Other methods of calculating the peaknumbers will be apparent to those of skill in the art.

Once the first peak number and second peak number have been determined,the ratio of these numbers can be calculated, and the second level of anauto-immune disease in the organism can be estimated based upon theratio. A higher ratio of the first peak number to the second peak numbergenerally indicates a greater relative abundance of small DNA moleculesand a higher disease activity. The ratio can be compared with one ormore cutoffs to identify whether the disease is present in the organism,or the severity of the disease. If the auto-immune disease is SLE, forexample, the cutoffs can distinguish between different SLEDAI levels orpatient groupings (i.e., group I, II, or III). Thus, the second levelcan be a SLEDAI level or patient grouping.

C. Evaluating a Treatment

A method is also provided herein for evaluating a treatment for anauto-immune disease in an organism. A pre-treatment biological sample isobtained from the organism prior to treatment, and is analyzed asdiscussed above. A pre-treatment level of the auto-immune disease in theorganism is then estimated. Subsequent to treatment, a post-treatmentbiological sample is obtained from the organism and analyzed asdiscussed above, and a post-treatment level of the auto-immune diseasein the organism is estimated. The pre-treatment level of the auto-immunedisease is then compared with the post-treatment level of theauto-immune disease to determine a prognosis of the treatment.

The pre-treatment level can be estimated as the first level of theauto-immune disease, or the second level. Similarly, the post-treatmentlevel can be estimated as the first level of the auto-immune disease, orthe second level. Preferably, the pre-treatment level and post-treatmentlevel are estimated in the same way (either both first level or bothsecond level) to ensure that these levels are comparable.

When the level of the auto-immune disease falls during the treatment,then the post-treatment biological sample generally has a lowerabundance of small DNA molecules than the pre-treatment sample,indicating less disease activity. Accordingly, in some embodiments, thetreatment is considered to be effective if the post-treatment level ofthe auto-immune disease is lower than the pre-treatment level of theauto-immune disease.

The effectiveness of the treatment can also be quantified based on howmuch the level of the auto-immune disease falls. In some embodiments,the method of evaluating the treatment also includes determining achange between the pre-treatment level and the post-treatment level; anddetermining a degree of effectiveness based on the change. The changecan be expressed as desired, for example as a fraction or percentage ofthe pre-treatment level, a ratio of the post-treatment level to thepre-treatment level, or a number of SLEDAI levels. The degree ofeffectiveness can be any appropriate function of this change.

II. RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN METHYLATION DENSITY OF CIRCULATING DNA AND SLEDISEASE ACTIVITY

DNA methylation plays an important role in the regulation of geneexpression and cell death. It has been reported that changes in themethylation of DNA in apoptotic cells may provoke lymphocyte activationin SLE^(33,34). In some embodiments, the methylation profile of DNAdetected in plasma of SLE patients can be altered and be associated withdisease activity.

A. Example Results

As examples, embodiments used massively parallel paired-end bisulfitesequencing analysis to determine the genome-wide methylation profiles ofcirculating DNA in the plasma of 4 healthy individuals and 9 SLEpatients. First, we quantified the overall methylation density. As shownin FIG. 11, we found that the SLE patients with higher diseaseactivities had statistically significantly reduced overall methylationdensities when compared to the healthy individuals as well as SLEpatients with mild or in the inactive state (Mann-Whitney Rank Sum Test,P=0.019). Such a reduction in the overall methylation density wasobserved across the genome as well as in the repeat or non-repeatregions of the genome as illustrated in FIG. 12.

In this example, we next determined the methylation status of smallersegments of the genome. In this analysis, we divided the genome intoregions of 1 Mb, termed bins. Other bin sizes smaller or larger than 1Mb could also be adopted for this analysis. We determined themethylation density of each 1 Mb bin and for all bins in the genome forthe healthy controls and SLE patients. We then compared the methylationdensity of each SLE patient against the mean methylation density of thecorresponding bin in the healthy controls. We expressed the differencein the methylation density of a bin between any SLE case and thecontrols in terms of the number of standard deviations (SDs) determinedfrom the spread of the methylation density values observed among thecontrols, namely expressed as z-scores. We then assessed the proportionof 1-Mb bins showing similar, lower or higher methylation densities whencompared with controls. Bins with z-scores within 3 and −3 areconsidered showing similar methylation as the controls. Bins withz-scores<−3 are considered to show statistically significanthypomethylation when compared with controls. Bins with z-scores>3 areconsidered to show statistically significant hypermethylation whencompared with controls.

The data are shown in the Circos plots in FIGS. 13-15. We found that theplasma DNA of all SLE patients showed hypomethylation when compared withcontrols. The number, proportion or percentage of bins withhypomethylation was increased in SLE patients. The proportions ofhypomethylated bins were highest in the SLE patients with higher diseaseactivities (up to 94.8%) when compared to patients with mild or inactiveSLE. In addition, our analysis demonstrated that the overall methylationdensities and proportion of bins with hypomethylation of plasma DNA ofSLE patients had a statistically significant correlation with SLEDAI(FIGS. 16 and 17), Spearman's correlation for the overall methylationdensities=−0.58, P=0.0347, Spearman's correlation for the proportion ofbins with hypomethylation=0.92, P<0.0001) and anti-ds DNA antibodylevels (FIGS. 18 and 19), Spearman's correlation for the overallmethylation densities=−0.57, P=0.0391, Spearman's correlation for theproportion of bins with hypomethylation=0.79, P<0.0001). Other z-scorecutoffs can be used to adjust the sensitivity and specificity of theanalysis.

Our data showed that there is more hypomethylated DNA in the plasma ofSLE patients. The degree of hypomethylation correlates with diseaseactivity. Interestingly, when we applied the same analysis to thecorresponding blood cell DNA, namely buffy coat, of patients with activeSLE, no hypomethylation was detected in the blood cells despite thepresence of substantial degree of hypomethylation in plasma (FIG. 20).These data suggest that while the pathogenesis of SLE is related to aheightened immune response in affected individuals, the hypomethylatedplasma DNA molecules do not seem to be contributed solely by immuneblood cells. This is a surprising finding because previous studiesshowed that hematological cells are the predominant contributor ofplasma DNA in bone marrow transplant recipients³⁵ and pregnant women³⁶.The analysis of methylation profile of plasma DNA is useful fordeveloping new tools for diagnosis, prognosis and monitoring of SLE.

B. Method based on Methylation

FIG. 21 shows a method 2100 for diagnosing an auto-immune disease basedon the methylation of circulating DNA molecules according to embodimentsof the present invention. Method 2100 involves analyzing a biologicalsample of an organism, the biological sample including nucleic acidmolecules, wherein at least some of the nucleic acid molecules arecell-free. The biological sample can be obtained from the organism asdesired and processed prior to analysis, as described above.

At block 2110, a plurality of DNA molecules from the sample is analyzed.Analyzing a DNA molecule includes determining whether the DNA moleculeis methylated at one or more sites. The analysis can be performed usingmassively-parallel or single-molecule sequencing, preferablymethylation-aware sequencing. Any sequencing or other technique can beused to analyze each DNA molecule of the plurality. If desired, sequencereads can be aligned to a reference genome sequence and the locations ofindividual methylated or non-methylated sites in the reference genomesequence can be determined. The analysis can include or exclude DNAmolecules having certain characteristics, for example DNA moleculesaligning to certain genomic regions, so that data from only a selectedsubset of DNA molecules in the biological sample are used in subsequentmethod steps. In some embodiments, the DNA molecules included in theanalysis, and in turn used to calculate the first methylation level,have a specified size or range of sizes. In some embodiments, no DNAmolecules are excluded from the analysis.

At block 2120, a first methylation level is calculated based on themethylation determined at sites of the DNA molecules. The firstmethylation level can be a methylation index or a methylation density asdefined above. The sites for which the first methylation level iscalculated can be selected as desired to have specific characteristics.For example, the sites can be CpG sites or can occur within certaingenomic regions, for example chromosomes or portions thereof, repeatregions, non-repeat regions, coding regions, non-coding regions, or CpGislands. In some embodiments, the first methylation level is calculatedfor all informative sites in the DNA molecules analyzed.

In some embodiments of method 2100, calculating the first methylationlevel includes normalization. For each DNA molecule analyzed, an amountof the one or more sites that are methylated is calculated. The amountsfor the plurality of DNA molecules are summed to obtain a total amount,and the total amount is normalized to obtain the first methylationlevel. The normalization can be carried out as desired or as describedbelow. For example, the total amount of methylated sites can be dividedby the number of DNA molecules in the plurality or by the total lengthof DNA represented by these molecules. The total amount of methylatedsites can also be transformed by a function that reflects variation inthe sizes of the DNA molecules, and corrects for the tendency of shorterDNA molecules to have lower methylation densities.

At block 2130, the first methylation level is compared to a firstreference value. The first reference value can be a methylation levelcalculated using one or more control biological samples, e.g. samplesobtained from organisms known or assumed to lack the auto-immunedisease. Preferably, the first reference value and first methylationlevel are calculated in a similar fashion and reflect the same set ofsites, or an overlapping set of sites. The first reference value can bebased on previous data and/or theoretical considerations. In someembodiments, the first reference value is a methylation density.

Comparing the first methylation level to the first reference value caninclude determining whether first methylation level is greater than orless than the first reference value, and by how much. For example, thecomparison can involve calculating a difference in percent methylationdensities. A first methylation level that exceeds the first referencevalue indicates hypermethylation, while a first methylation level thatfalls below the first reference value indicates hypomethylation. Insteador in addition, the comparison can involve calculating a ratio of thetwo quantities. The comparison can also include calculating astatistical measure, such as a confidence interval or uncertainty, tocharacterize the difference or ratio of the first methylation level andfirst reference value.

At block 2140, the first level of the auto-immune disease is estimatedbased on the comparison at block 2130. The first level can be a level ofSLE or a patient grouping, for example, and can reflect the magnitude ofobserved hypermethylation or hypomethylation. Greater hypomethylationcan reflect higher disease activity. The first level of the auto-immunedisease can be used as appropriate, for example to design a treatmentregimen for the organism or determine a dose of a medication.

In some embodiments of method 2100, the methylation at specific sites inthe genome of the organism is examined. Calculating the firstmethylation level can include, for each of a plurality of first sites,determining a respective number of DNA molecules that are methylated atthe first site. The calculation can also include determining the numberof DNA molecules containing each first site that are unmethylated, andthus the fraction of DNA molecules (or reads) containing each first sitethat are methylated. Thus, a methylation index can be calculated at oneor more of the first sites. Instead or in addition, one or moremethylation densities can be calculated for the region or regionscontaining the first sites. The first methylation level can becalculated as desired based on the respective number of DNA moleculesmethylated at the plurality of first sites. To estimate the first levelof the auto-immune disease, this first methylation level is thencompared to a first reference value as discussed above, for example areference value calculated using data for the first sites in a healthyorganism.

In these embodiments, any number of first sites can be examined, and thefirst sites can be chosen using any appropriate criteria. For example,the first sites can be chosen on the basis of how many analyzed DNAmolecules contain each site, and thus how much certainty can be placedon a methylation index for that site or a methylation density for aregion containing that site. Alternatively, the first sites can bechosen to represent portions of the genome having commoncharacteristics, such as sites within the same chromosome, sites allwithin coding or non-coding regions, or sites all within repeat ornon-repeat regions. Another possibility is that the first sites arechosen to represent disparate regions of the genome. For example, aplurality of sites can be chosen to evenly represent all thechromosomes. The first sites can also be chosen based on whether theyfall within genes implicated in the auto-immune disease or relatedphenomena (e.g., apoptosis), or fall within regions of the genomeinvolved in regulating these genes.

Method 2100 can also include examining methylation at a plurality ofsecond sites. Data for the first sites and second sites can be analyzedin the same or similar ways. For each of a plurality of second sites, arespective number of DNA molecules that are methylated at the secondsite is determined. A second methylation level is then calculated basedon the respective numbers of DNA molecules methylated at the pluralityof second sites. The second methylation level is compared to a secondreference value, and a second level of the auto-immune disease in theorganism is estimated based upon the comparison of the secondmethylation level to the second reference value.

The first sites and second sites can be chosen using similar criteria.In some embodiments, the first sites and second sites are chosen toprovide complementary information about the methylation of DNA moleculesin the biological sample. For example, the first sites can occur inrepeat regions of the genome of the organism, and the second sites canoccur in the non-repeat regions of the genome of the organism.Alternatively, the first sites can represent coding regions, while thesecond sites represent non-coding regions. Another alternative is forthe first sites to occur within one chromosome or region of the genome,while the second sites occur within a different chromosome or region.Thus, the first sites and second sites can be in non-overlappingregions. The first and second sites can also be chosen in order tocompare methylation in one region of the genome with methylation in thegenome as a whole. For example, the first sites can be concentrated inone region of the genome, while the second sites can be distributedthroughout the genome.

After estimating first and second levels of the auto-immune disease,based on the methylation levels calculated for the plurality of firstsites and the plurality of second sites, respectively, the first andsecond levels can be compared with each other. In some embodiments ofthe present methods, the first level of the auto-immune disease iscompared with the second level of the auto-immune disease to determine aclassification of whether the organism has the auto-immune disease. Forexample, if the first and second levels, respectively representinghypomethylation in repeat and non-repeat regions of the organism'sgenome, are both high, then the organism can be placed into aclassification for having the disease. In another example, if one levelis much higher than the other, then hypomethylation in the organism'sgenome may be non-uniform, and an appropriate classification for theorganism can be determined. It will be recognized that the meaning ofthe comparison between the first level and second level depends on whatcriteria are used to select the first sites and second sites. Comparingthe first level with the second level can include determining aparameter between the first level and the second level, and comparingthe parameter to a cutoff value. This parameter can include a differenceor ratio of the first level and second level, or other function of thefirst level and second level. For example, if the ratio of the firstlevel to the second level exceeds a cutoff value, then the organism canbe classified as having the auto-immune disease.

C. Multiple Regions

FIG. 22 shows a method 2200 of identifying hypomethylation orhypermethylation in multiple regions of the genome of an organismaccording to embodiments of the present invention. The method is foranalyzing a biological sample of an organism, the biological sampleincluding nucleic acid molecules, wherein at least some of the nucleicacid molecules are cell-free.

At blocks 2210 and 2220, the plurality of DNA molecules from thebiological sample are analyzed. These blocks are repeated for each DNAmolecule analyzed. At block 2210, the location of a DNA molecule in agenome of the organism is determined. The location can be determined bysequencing the DNA molecule using a single-molecule or massivelyparallel sequencing technique, as discussed above, and aligning thesequence with a reference genome sequence. The alignment can beperformed as desired. The reference genome sequence can be a consensus(e.g., published) sequence or the sequence of one or more individualorganisms. If feasible, the reference genome sequence can be thesequence of the organism from which the biological sample is obtained.

At block 2220, it is determined whether the DNA molecule is methylatedat one or more sites. Methylation, or the absence thereof, can bedetected at specific sites using methylation-aware sequencing, such asbisulfite sequencing. Preferably, an appropriate sequencing method ischosen such that blocks 2210 and 2220 can be carried out in a singlesequencing step for each molecule. The sites interrogated formethylation at block 2220 can be all possible sites in the referencegenome sequence, all sites encountered during sequencing of theplurality of DNA molecules, or a subset thereof. These sites can bepre-selected, as discussed above, or can be identified during theanalysis.

Blocks 2230 and 2240 are carried out for each of a first plurality ofgenomic regions. Each genomic region is a region of the genome of theorganism from which the biological sample was obtained. A genomic regioncan be a chromosome or portion thereof. If desired, the genomic regionscan be delineated in terms of the reference genome sequence. In someembodiments, the genomic regions are non-overlapping and/or contiguous.In some embodiments, the genomic regions are bins of equal size. Thesize of each genomic region or bin can be from about 100 kb to about 10Mb. In some embodiments, each genomic region or bin is about 100 kb, 200kb, 300 kb, 400 kb, 500 kb, 600 kb, 700 kb, 800 kb, 900 kb, 1 Mb, 2 Mb,3 Mb, 4 Mb, 5 Mb, 6 Mb, 7 Mb, 8 Mb, 9 Mb, or 10 Mb in size.

At block 2230, for each genomic region, a methylation density at aplurality of sites in the genomic region is determined with a computersystem, based on the analysis of DNA molecules in the genomic region.The methylation density can be determined as desired and/or as describedabove. The methylation density can take into account all possiblemethylation sites within the genomic region, all sites analyzed, or asubset thereof. In some embodiments, the methylation density isexpressed as a percentage.

At block 2240, the methylation density determined for each genomicregion is then compared to a first threshold to determine whether theregion is hypomethylated. In some embodiments, a reference value iscalculated and the first threshold is set with respect to the referencevalue. For example, the reference value can be a statistical value, suchas the median or mean, of a set of control methylation densities, whichare determined for a plurality of genomic regions of one or more otherorganisms. The other organisms can be known or assumed to not sufferfrom the auto-immune disease, or to have an appropriately low level ofthe auto-immune disease.

A measure of spread (for example, standard deviation, standard error,variance, or statistical uncertainty) can be calculated for thesecontrol methylation densities, and the first threshold can be themeasure of spread (or a multiple thereof) subtracted from the referencevalue. For example, the first threshold can represent a z-score, ascalculated with respect to the distribution of control methylationdensities, of −1, −2, or −3. In other words, the first threshold can bethe mean of the control methylation densities minus three times (for az-score of −3) the standard deviation of the control methylationdensities. In general, the first threshold for a genomic region canreflect statistical variation in the methylation densities determinedfor a plurality of genomic regions. In some embodiments, a genomicregion is considered to be hypomethylated if the methylation density forthe genomic region is less than the first threshold.

At block 2250, a first amount of genomic regions that are hypomethylatedis calculated. The first amount can be the number of genomic regions inthe organism that are hypomethylated, or the fraction or percentage ofall genomic regions that are hypomethylated. Alternatively or inaddition, the first amount can be the total amount of sequence spacespanned by the hypomethylated genomic regions, or the fraction of thetotal length of the organism's genome that these regions span.

At block 2260, a level of an auto-immune disease in the organism isestimated based upon the first amount. The level can be a level of SLE,and can be stated in terms of SLEDAI or a patient grouping. Higher firstamounts can be associated with higher levels of the auto-immune disease,or greater disease activity. The estimated level of the auto-immunedisease can be used as appropriate, for example to design a treatmentregimen for the organism or determine a dose of a medication.

In embodiments of method 2200, genomic regions can also be identified ashypermethylated. In some embodiments, a second plurality of genomicregions is identified in the genome of the organism from which thebiological sample was obtained. The second plurality of genomic regionscan be the same as the first plurality of genomic regions, or can bedifferent. For example, the second plurality of genomic regions can havedifferent sizes from the first plurality of genomic regions, bedifferent in number, and/or have boundaries in different locationswithin a reference genome sequence.

For each of the second plurality of genomic regions, the methylationdensity is compared to a second threshold to determine whether theregion is hypermethylated. In some embodiments, a region is consideredhypermethylated if the methylation density exceeds the second threshold.The second threshold can be set as desired, and in some embodiments isset in analogy to the first threshold discussed above. For example, aset of control methylation densities can be determined for a pluralityof genomic regions of one or more other organisms, and the mean andstandard deviation of these control methylation densities can becalculated. The second threshold can then be set as the mean plus amultiple (for example, 3) of the standard deviation. The mean of thecontrol methylation densities thus serves as a reference value. Otherstatistical values (e.g., median) calculated from the controlmethylation densities can serve as the reference value instead.

In some embodiments, a difference between the second threshold and areference value equals the difference between the reference value andthe first threshold. Thus, the first and second thresholds are equallyspaced from the reference value. Generally, the first and secondthreshold for a genomic region can be determined based on a statisticalvariation in the methylation densities determined for a plurality ofgenomic regions.

Once the methylation density of each genomic region in the secondplurality of genomic regions has been compared to a second threshold, asecond amount of genomic regions that are hypermethylated is calculated.The second amount can be calculated in analogy to the first amountdiscussed above. For example, the second amount can be the number ofgenomic regions that are hypermethylated, or the fraction or percentageof all genomic regions in the second plurality that are hypermethylated.The level of the auto-immune disease in the organism can then beestimated, and this estimate can be based on the second amount as wellas the first amount. In some cases, a higher second amount (i.e., morehypermethylation) can indicate a higher level of the auto-immunedisease, whereas in other cases this indicates a lower level. It will berecognized that any comparisons between the first amount and secondamount should take into account how the first and second pluralities ofgenomic regions are designated.

III. RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN METHYLATION DENSITY AND SIZE OF CIRCULATINGDNA IN SLE PATIENTS

The change in methylation profile of plasma DNA can be associated withan altered size distribution of plasma DNA in SLE patients. By using thedata generated from the massively parallel paired-end bisulfitesequencing analysis of plasma DNA of the 4 healthy individuals and 9 SLEpatients, we determined the methylation densities of DNA in a range ofsizes (20-250 bp). This analysis also indicates that the characteristicplasma DNA size profiles associated with SLE could be observed from boththe data obtained by massively parallel paired-end sequencing withoutbisulfite conversion as well as by massively parallel paired-endbisulfite sequencing.

As shown in FIGS. 23 and 24, we found that SLE patients with mild or nodisease activity had a similar pattern of methylation densities atvarious sizes as the healthy individuals. However, the SLE patients witha higher disease activity exhibited abnormal methylation density-DNAsize relationships as shown on FIG. 25. It indicated that methylationdensities of the short DNA of active SLE patients were deranged.

These data suggest that there exists an association between the alteredmethylation and size profiles of plasma DNA of SLE patients. The plasmaDNA profile characteristic of SLE patients may result from the relativeincrease in short hypomethylated DNA molecules in the plasma of thosepatients. Possibly, there is delayed clearance or degradation of theshort unmethylated plasma DNA in SLE patients. These derangementsappeared more marked in SLE patients with higher disease activities. Thedata also suggest that the assessments of the size and methylationprofiles of DNA in plasma of SLE patients could be used synergisticallyfor developing new tools for the diagnosis, prognostication andtreatment monitoring of SLE.

Method 2600 (shown in FIG. 26) is provided for detecting an auto-immunedisease in an organism, e.g. a human patient, based on the methylationlevels of DNA molecules having one or more sizes. The method involvesanalyzing a biological sample of an organism, the biological sampleincluding nucleic acid molecules, wherein at least some of the nucleicacid molecules are cell-free. The biological sample can be obtained fromthe organism and prepared for analysis as discussed above.

At blocks 2610 and 2620, a DNA molecule is analyzed. These blocks arerepeated for each molecule analyzed of the plurality of molecules.Analyzing a DNA molecule includes determining a size of the DNAmolecule, and determining whether the DNA molecule is methylated at oneor more sites. The size and methylation status of each DNA molecule canbe determined as desired, for example using massively parallelsequencing or single-molecule sequencing. In preferred embodiments, eachmolecule is analyzed using methylation-aware sequencing. If desired,data from the analysis of the DNA molecules can be filtered on the basisof the sequences of these molecules. For example, the sequences ofindividual DNA molecules can be aligned with a reference genomesequence, and the molecules can be queried for methylation (or lack ofmethylation) at selected sites in the reference genome sequence. Thesesites can correspond to coding regions, non-coding regions, repeatregions, non-repeat regions, or specific chromosomes or genes, forexample. Thus, only data for molecules that include the selected sitesare passed to subsequent steps of the method. Alternatively, methylationdata can be obtained and further analyzed at all possible sites, orwithout regard to the sequences of the DNA molecules.

At block 2630, a first methylation level is calculated based on thedetermined methylation for DNA molecules having a first size. In someembodiments, the first methylation level is a methylation density. Thefirst size can be selected as desired and can represent relatively shortor long molecules, or molecules having sizes within a range. In someembodiments, the first size is a range of sizes having a minimum andmaximum, and the maximum is 10, 20, 30, 40, 50, 60, 70, 80, 90, 100,110, 120, 130, 140, or 150 bp. In some embodiments, the first size is arange of sizes having a minimum and maximum, and the difference betweenthe minimum and maximum is 10, 20, 30, 40, 50, 60, 70, 80, 90, 100, 110,120, 130, 140, or 150 bp. The first size can also be defined in terms ofa cutoff value. For example, molecules having the first size can beshorter or longer than the cutoff value. The cutoff value can be, forexample, 10, 20, 30, 40, 50, 60, 70, 80, 90, 100, 110, 120, 130, 140, or150 bp.

At block 2640, the first methylation level is compared to a thresholdmethylation level. In some embodiments, the threshold methylation levelis calculated using one or more control biological samples, e.g. samplesobtained from organisms known or assumed to lack the auto-immunedisease. The threshold methylation level can be calculated for DNAmolecules from the control biological samples also having the firstsize, or a comparable size or range of sizes. In some embodiments, thethreshold methylation level is a methylation density.

Comparing the first methylation level to the threshold methylation levelcan involve determining whether the first methylation level is greaterthan or less than the threshold methylation level, and by how much. Forexample, the comparison can involve calculating a difference in percentmethylation densities. A first methylation level that exceeds thethreshold methylation level can indicate hypermethylation, while a firstmethylation level that falls below the threshold methylation level canindicate hypomethylation. Instead or in addition, the comparison caninvolve calculating a ratio of the two quantities. The comparison canalso include calculating a statistical measure, such as a confidenceinterval or uncertainty, to characterize the difference or ratio of thefirst methylation level and threshold methylation level.

At block 2650, a level of the auto-immune disease is estimated based onthe comparison at block 2640. The first level can be a level of SLE or apatient grouping, for example, and can reflect agreement or disparitybetween the first methylation level and threshold methylation level. Thefirst level can also reflect the magnitude of any observedhypermethylation or hypomethylation. Greater hypomethylation canindicate higher disease activity, particularly when the first sizerepresents relatively short DNA molecules such as those less than 50,60, 70, 80, 90, 100, 110, 120, 130, 140, or 150 bp in length. In someembodiments, the auto-immune disease is detected if the firstmethylation level is less than the threshold methylation level. Theestimated level of the auto-immune disease can be used as appropriate,for example to design a treatment regimen for the organism or determinea dose of a medication.

Some embodiments of method 2600 also include designating a second sizeof DNA molecules and examining the methylation of these molecules. Thesecond size is greater than the first size and represents longer DNAmolecules. Like the first size, the second size can be a single size orrange of sizes, and can be selected as desired. In some embodiments,when the first size and second size are both ranges of sizes, the rangesdo not overlap, or the maximum of the range for the first size is theminimum of the range for the second size. In some embodiments, moleculeshaving the first size can be shorter than a cutoff value, whereasmolecules having the second size can be longer than the cutoff value. Insome embodiments, the second size includes DNA molecules longer thanabout 50, 60, 70, 80, 90, 100, 110, 120, 130, 140, or 150 bp.

Once the second size is selected, a second methylation level can becalculated based on the determined methylation for DNA molecules havingthe second size. The second methylation level is preferably directlycomparable to the first methylation level and is calculated in the sameway or a similar way. In some embodiments, the second methylation levelis a methylation density.

Estimating the level of the auto-immune disease in the organism can thenbe further based on a ratio of the first methylation level to the secondmethylation level. This ratio indicates the extent of methylation insmaller DNA molecules of the biological sample as compared with largermolecules. A ratio less than 1 indicates that the smaller molecules areless methylated than the larger molecules on average, and an unusuallylow or high ratio can indicate hypomethylation or hypermethylation ofthe smaller molecules. The ratio can be compared with a reference value,for example a ratio obtained from analysis of control biologicalsamples, to determine whether the ratio is aberrant. The ratio can beincorporated into the estimation of the level of the auto-immune diseaseas desired.

IV. METHYLATION AND SIZE

Plasma DNA molecules are known to exist in circulation in the form ofshort molecules, with the majority of molecules about 160 bp inlength^(37,38). Interestingly, our data revealed a relationship betweenthe methylation status and the size of plasma DNA molecules. Thus,plasma DNA fragment length is linked to DNA methylation level. Thecharacteristic size profiles of plasma DNA molecules suggest that themajority are associated with mononucleosomes, possibly derived fromenzymatic degradation during apoptosis.

Circulating DNA is fragmented in nature. In particular, circulatingfetal DNA is shorter than maternally-derived DNA in maternal plasmasamples³⁹. As paired-end alignment enables the size analysis ofbisulfite-treated DNA, one could assess directly if any correlationexists between the size of plasma DNA molecules and their respectivemethylation levels. We explored this in the maternal plasma as well as anon-pregnant adult female control plasma sample.

Paired-end sequencing (which includes sequencing an entire molecule) forboth ends of each DNA molecule was used to analyze each sample in thisstudy. By aligning the pair of end sequences of each DNA molecule to thereference human genome and noting the genome coordinates of the extremeends of the sequenced reads, one can determine the lengths of thesequenced DNA molecules. Plasma DNA molecules are naturally fragmentedinto small molecules and the sequencing libraries for plasma DNA aretypically prepared without any fragmentation steps. Hence, the lengthsdeduced by the sequencing represented the sizes of the original plasmaDNA molecules.

In a previous study, we determined the size profiles of the fetal andmaternal DNA molecules in maternal plasma³⁷. We showed that the plasmaDNA molecules had sizes that resembled mononucleosomes and fetal DNAmolecules were shorter than the maternal ones. In this study, we havedetermined the relationship of the methylation status of plasma DNAmolecules to their sizes.

A. Estimating Methylation Based on Size

Accordingly, a size distribution can be used to estimate a totalmethylation percentage of a plasma sample. This methylation measurementcan then be tracked during pregnancy, during monitoring of anauto-immune disease (e.g., SLE) or other disease (e.g., cancer), orduring treatment by serial measurement of the size distributions of theplasma DNA. The methylation measurement can also be used to look forincreased or decreased release of DNA from an organ or a tissue ofinterest. For example, one can specifically look for DNA methylationsignatures specific to a specific organ (e.g. the liver) and to measurethe concentrations of these signatures in plasma. As DNA is releasedinto plasma when cells die, an increase in levels could mean an increasein cell death or damage in that particular organ or tissue. A decreasein level from a particular organ can mean that treatment to counterdamage or pathological processes in that organ is under control.

A method 2700 is provided for estimating a methylation level of DNA in abiological sample of an organism according to embodiments of the presentinvention. Method 2700 is shown in FIG. 27. The methylation level can beestimated for a particular region of a genome or the entire genome. If aspecific region is desired, then DNA fragments only from that specificregion may be used.

At block 2710, amounts of DNA fragments corresponding to various sizesare measured. For each size of a plurality of sizes, an amount of aplurality of DNA fragments from the biological sample corresponding tothe size can be measured. For instance, the number of DNA fragmentshaving a length of 140 bases may be measured. The amounts may be savedas a histogram. In one embodiment, a size of each of the plurality ofnucleic acids from the biological sample is measured, which may be doneon an individual basis (e.g., by single molecule sequencing of a wholemolecule or just ends of the molecule) or on a group basis (e.g., viaelectrophoresis). The sizes may correspond to a range. Thus, an amountcan be for DNA fragments that have a size within a particular range.When paired-end sequencing is performed, the DNA fragments (asdetermined by the paired sequence reads) mapping (aligning) to aparticular region may be used to determine the methylation level of theregion.

At block 2720, a first value of a first parameter is calculated based onthe amounts of DNA fragments at multiple sizes. In one aspect, the firstparameter provides a statistical measure of a size profile (e.g., ahistogram) of DNA fragments in the biological sample. The parameter maybe referred to as a size parameter since it is determined from the sizesof the plurality of DNA fragments.

The first parameter can be of various forms. One parameter is thepercentage of DNA fragment of a particular size or range of sizesrelative to all DNA fragments or relative to DNA fragments of anothersize or range. Such a parameter is a number of DNA fragments at aparticular size divided by the total number of fragments, which may beobtained from a histogram (any data structure providing absolute orrelative counts of fragments at particular sizes). As another example, aparameter could be a number of fragments at a particular size or withina particular range divided by a number of fragments of another size orrange. The division can act as a normalization to account for adifferent number of DNA fragments being analyzed for different samples.A normalization can be accomplished by analyzing a same number of DNAfragments for each sample, which effectively provides a same result asdividing by a total number fragments analyzed. Additional examples ofparameters and about size analysis can be found in U.S. patentapplication Ser. No. 13/789,553, which is incorporated by reference forall purposes.

At block 2730, the first size value is compared to a reference sizevalue. The reference size value can be calculated from DNA fragments ofa reference sample. To determine the reference size values, themethylation profile can be calculated and quantified for a referencesample, as well as a value of the first size parameter. Thus, when thefirst size value is compared to the reference size value, a methylationlevel can be determined.

At block 2740, the methylation level is estimated based on thecomparison. In one embodiment, one can determine if the first value ofthe first parameter is above or below the reference size value, andthereby determine if the methylation level of the instant sample isabove or below the methylation level to the reference size value. Inanother embodiment, the comparison is accomplished by inputting thefirst value into a calibration function. The calibration function caneffectively compare the first value to calibration values (a set ofreference size values) by identifying the point on a curve correspondingto the first value. The estimated methylation level is then provided asthe output value of the calibration function.

Accordingly, one can calibrate a size parameter to a methylation level.For example, a methylation level can be measured and associated with aparticular size parameter for that sample. Then data points from varioussamples can be fit a calibration function. In one implementation,different calibration functions can be used for different subsets ofDNA. Thus, there may be some form of calibration based on priorknowledge about the relationship between methylation and size for aparticular subset of DNA. For example, the calibration for fetal andmaternal DNA could be different.

As shown above, the placenta is more hypomethylated when compared withmaternal blood, and thus the fetal DNA is smaller due to the lowermethylation. Accordingly, an average size of the fragments of a sample(or other statistical value) can be used to estimate the methylationdensity. As the fragment sizes can be measured using paired-endsequencing, rather than the potentially technically more complexmethylation-aware sequencing, this approach would potentially becost-effective if used clinically. This approach can be used formonitoring the methylation changes associated with the progress ofpregnancy, or with pregnancy-associated disorders such as preeclampsia,preterm labor and fetal disorders (such as those caused by chromosomalor genetic abnormalities or intrauterine growth retardation).

In another embodiment, this approach can be used for detecting andmonitoring cancer or SLE. For example, with the successful treatment ofcancer, the methylation profile in plasma or another bodily fluid asmeasured using this size-based approach would change towards that ofhealthy individuals without cancer. Conversely, in the event that thecancer is progressing, then the methylation profile in plasma or anotherbodily fluid would diverge from that of healthy individuals withoutcancer.

In summary, the hypomethylated molecules were shorter than thehypermethylated ones in plasma. The same trend was observed in both thefetal and maternal DNA molecules. Since DNA methylation is known toinfluence nucleosome packing, our data suggest that perhaps thehypomethylated DNA molecules were less densely packed with histones andwere therefore more susceptible to enzymatic degradation. On the otherhand, our data also showed that despite the fetal DNA being much morehypomethylated than the maternal reads, the size distribution of thefetal and maternal DNA does not separate from one another completely.Even for the same size category, the methylation level of fetal- andmaternal-specific reads differ from one another. This observationsuggests that the hypomethylated state of fetal DNA is not the onlyfactor that accounted for its relative shortness with reference to thematernal DNA.

B. Normalizing Methylation Based on Size

As described above and by Lun et al.⁴⁰, the methylation density (e.g.,of plasma DNA) is correlated with the size of the DNA fragments.Methylation densities for shorter plasma DNA fragments can besignificantly lower than those for longer fragments. We propose thatsome non-cancer conditions (e.g., SLE) with abnormal fragmentationpatterns of plasma DNA may exhibit an apparent hypomethylation of plasmaDNA due to the presence of more abundant short plasma DNA fragments,which are less methylated. In other words, the size distribution ofplasma DNA can be a confounding factor for the methylation density forplasma DNA.

In some embodiments, a measured methylation level can be normalized toreduce the confounding effect of size distribution on plasma DNAmethylation analysis. For example, a size of DNA molecules at theplurality of sites can be measured. In various implementations, themeasurement can provide a specific size (e.g., length) to a DNA moleculeor simply determine that the size falls within a specific range, whichcan also correspond to a size. The normalized methylation level can thenbe compared to a cutoff value. There are several ways to perform thenormalization to reduce the confounding effect of size distribution onplasma DNA methylation analysis.

In one embodiment, size fractionation of DNA (e.g., plasma DNA) can beperformed. The size fractionation can ensure that DNA fragments of asimilar size are used to determine the methylation level in a mannerconsistent with the cutoff value. As part of the size fractionation, DNAfragments having a first size (e.g., a first range of lengths) can beselected, where the first cutoff value corresponds to the first size.The normalization can be achieved by calculating the methylation levelusing only the selected DNA fragments.

The size fractionation can be achieved in various ways, e.g., either byphysical separation of different sized DNA molecules (e.g. byelectrophoresis or microfluidics-based technologies, orcentrifugation-based technologies) or by in silico analysis. For insilico analysis, in one embodiment, one can perform paired-end massivelyparallel sequencing of the plasma DNA molecules. One can then deduce thesize of the sequenced molecules by comparison with the location of eachof two ends of a plasma DNA molecule to a reference human genome. Then,one can perform subsequent analysis by the selection of sequenced DNAmolecules that match one or more size selection criteria (e.g., thecriteria of the size being within a specified range). Thus, in oneembodiment, the methylation density can be analyzed for fragments with asimilar size (e.g., within a specified range). The cutoff value can bedetermined based on fragments within the same size range. For instance,methylation levels can be determined from samples that are known to havea disease (e.g., cancer or SLE) or not have the disease, and the cutoffvalues can be determined from these methylation levels.

In another embodiment, a functional relationship between methylationdensity and size of circulating DNA can be determined. The functionalrelationship can be defined by data point or coefficients of a function.The functional relationship can provide scaling values corresponding torespective sizes (e.g., shorter sizes can have corresponding increasesto the methylation). In various implementations, the scaling value canbe between 0 and 1 or greater than 1.

The normalization can be made based on an average size. For example, anaverage size corresponding to DNA molecules used to calculate the firstmethylation level can be computed, and the first methylation level canbe multiplied by the corresponding scaling value (i.e., corresponding tothe average size). As another example, the methylation density of eachDNA molecule can be normalized according to the size of the DNA moleculeand relationship between DNA size and methylation.

In another implementation, the normalization can be done on a permolecule basis. For example, a respective size of a DNA molecule at aparticular site can be obtained (e.g., as described above), and ascaling value corresponding to the respective size can be identifiedfrom the functional relationship. For a non-normalized calculation, eachmolecule would be counted equally in determining a methylation index atthe site. For the normalized calculation, the contribution of a moleculeto the methylation index can be weighted by the scaling factor thatcorresponds to the size of the molecule.

In one embodiment, the results for the analyses with and without sizefractionation can be compared to indicate if there is any confoundingeffect of size on the methylation results. Thus, in addition or insteadof normalization, the calculation of a methylation level at a particularsize can be used to determine whether there is a likelihood of a falsepositive when the percentage of bins above a cutoff value differs withand without size fractionation, or whether just a particular methylationlevel differs. For example, the presence of a significant differencebetween the results for samples with and without size fractionation canbe used to indicate the possibility of a false-positive result due to anabnormal fragmentation pattern. The threshold for determining if thedifference is significant can be established via the analysis of acohort of disease patients and a cohort of control subjects.

V. METHYLATION VS. CNA

As mentioned above, methylation analysis approaches described herein canbe used in combination with other methods that are based on the geneticchanges of tumor-derived DNA in plasma. Examples of such methods includethe analysis for cancer-associated chromosomal aberrations^(41,42).Aspects of copy number aberrations (CNA), also referred to herein asmeasured genomic representation (MGR), are described in U.S. patentapplication Ser. No. 13/308,473.

A. CNA

Copy number aberrations can be detected by counting DNA fragments thatalign to a particular part of the genome, normalizing the count, andcomparing the count to a cutoff value. In various embodiments, thenormalization can be performed by a count of DNA fragments aligned toanother haplotype of the same part of the genome (relative haplotypedosage (RHDO)) or by a count of DNA fragments aligned to another part ofthe genome.

The RHDO method relies on using heterozygous loci. Embodiments describedin this section can also be used for loci that are homozygous bycomparing two regions and not two haplotypes of the same region, andthus are non-haplotype specific. In a relative chromosomal region dosagemethod, the number of fragments from one chromosomal region (e.g., asdetermined by counting the sequence reads aligned to that region) iscompared to an expected value (which may be from a reference chromosomeregion or from the same region in another sample that is known to behealthy). In this manner, a fragment would be counted for a chromosomalregion regardless of which haplotype the sequenced tag is from. Thus,sequence reads that contain no heterozygous loci could still be used. Toperform the comparison, an embodiment can normalize the tag count beforethe comparison. Each region is defined by at least two loci (which areseparated from each other), and fragments at these loci can be used toobtain a collective value about the region.

A normalized value for the sequenced reads (tags) for a particularregion can be calculated by dividing the number of sequenced readsaligning to that region by the total number of sequenced reads alignableto the whole genome. This normalized tag count allows results from onesample to be compared to the results of another sample. For example, thenormalized value can be the proportion (e.g., percentage or fraction) ofsequenced reads expected to be from the particular region, as is statedabove. In other embodiments, other methods for normalization arepossible. For example, one can normalize by dividing the number ofcounts for one region by the number of counts for a reference region (inthe case above, the reference region is just the whole genome). Thisnormalized tag count can then be compared against a threshold value,which may be determined from one or more reference samples notexhibiting cancer, SLE, or another disease.

The normalized tag count of the tested case would then be compared withthe normalized tag count of one or more reference subjects, e.g. thosewithout cancer. In one embodiment, the comparison is made by calculatingthe z-score of the case for the particular chromosomal region. Thez-score can be calculated using the following equation:z-score=(normalized tag count of the case−mean)/SD, where “mean” is themean normalized tag count aligning to the particular chromosomal regionfor the reference samples; and SD is the standard deviation of thenumber of normalized tag count aligning to the particular region for thereference samples. Hence, the z-score is the number of standarddeviation that the normalized tag count of a chromosomal region for thetested case is away from the mean normalized tag count for the samechromosomal region of the one or more reference subjects.

In the situation when the tested organism has cancer, the chromosomalregions that are amplified in the tumor tissues would beover-represented in the plasma DNA. This would result in a positivevalue of the z-score. On the other hand, chromosomal regions that aredeleted in the tumor tissues would be under-represented in the plasmaDNA. This would result in a negative value of the z-score. The magnitudeof the z-score is determined by several factors.

One factor is the fractional concentration of tumor-derived DNA in thebiological sample (e.g. plasma). The higher the fractional concentrationof tumor-derived DNA in the sample (e.g. plasma), the larger thedifference between the normalized tag count of the tested case and thereference cases would be. Hence, a larger magnitude of the z-score wouldresult.

Another factor is the variation of the normalized tag count in the oneor more reference cases. With the same degree of the over-representationof the chromosomal region in the biological sample (e.g. plasma) of thetested case, a smaller variation (i.e. a smaller standard deviation) ofthe normalized tag count in the reference group would result in a higherz-score. Similarly, with the same degree of under-representation of thechromosomal region in the biological sample (e.g. plasma) of the testedcase, a smaller standard deviation of the normalized tag count in thereference group would result in a more negative z-score.

Another factor is the magnitude of chromosomal aberration in the tumortissues. The magnitude of chromosomal aberration refers to the copynumber changes for the particular chromosomal region (either gain orloss). The higher the copy number changes in the tumor tissues, thehigher the degree of over- or under-representation of the particularchromosomal region in the plasma DNA. For example, the loss of bothcopies of the chromosome would result in greater under-representation ofthe chromosomal region in the plasma DNA than the loss of one of the twocopies of the chromosome and, hence, resulted in a more negativez-score. Typically, there are multiple chromosomal aberrations incancers. The chromosomal aberrations in each cancer can further vary byits nature (i.e. amplification or deletion), its degree (single ormultiple copy gain or loss) and its extent (size of the aberration interms of chromosomal length).

The precision of measuring the normalized tag count is affected by thenumber of molecules analyzed. We expect that 15,000, 60,000 and 240,000molecules would need to be analyzed to detect chromosomal aberrationswith one copy change (either gain or loss) when the fractionalconcentration is approximately 12.5%, 6.3% and 3.2% respectively.Further details of the tag counting for detection of cancer fordifferent chromosomal regions is described in U.S. Patent PublicationNo. 2009/0029377 entitled “Diagnosing Fetal Chromosomal Aneuploidy UsingMassively Parallel Genomic Sequencing” by Lo et al., the entire contentsof which are herein incorporated by reference for all purposes.

Embodiments can also use size analysis, instead of the tag countingmethod. Size analysis may also be used, instead of a normalized tagcount. The size analysis can use various parameters, as mentionedherein, and in U.S. patent application Ser. No. 12/940,992. For example,the Q or F values from above may be used. Such size values do not need anormalization by counts from other regions as these values do not scalewith the number of reads. Techniques of the haplotype-specific methods,such as the RHDO method described above and in more detail in U.S.patent application Ser. No. 13/308,473, can be used for the non-specificmethods as well. For example, techniques involving the depth andrefinement of a region may be used. In some embodiments, a GC bias for aparticular region can be taken into account when comparing two regions.Since the RHDO method uses the same region, such a correction is notneeded.

Although certain cancers can typically present with aberrations inparticular chromosomal regions, such cancers do not always exclusivelypresent with aberrations in such regions. For example, additionalchromosomal regions could show aberrations, and the location of suchadditional regions may be unknown. Furthermore, for auto-immune diseasessuch as SLE, aberrations may not consistently localize to particularchromosomal regions, or the pattern of localization may not be wellestablished. Thus, when screening patients to identify early stages ofcancer, SLE, or other diseases, one may want to detect aberrationsthroughout the genome. To address these situations, embodiments cananalyze a plurality of regions in a systematic fashion to determinewhich regions show aberrations. The number of aberrations and theirlocation (e.g. whether they are contiguous) can be used, for example, toconfirm aberrations, identify a disease, determine a stage of thedisease, provide a diagnosis of the disease (e.g. if the number isgreater than a threshold value), and provide a prognosis based on thenumber and location of various regions exhibiting an aberration.

Accordingly, embodiments can identify whether an organism has cancer,SLE, or another disease based on the number of regions that show anaberration. Thus, one can test a plurality of regions (e.g., 3,000) toidentify a number of regions that exhibit an aberration. The regions maycover the entire genome or just parts of the genome, e.g., non-repeatregions.

A method 2800 is provided of analyzing a biological sample of anorganism using a plurality of chromosomal regions (also called genomicregions herein) according to embodiments of the present invention. Thebiological sample includes nucleic acid molecules (also calledfragments). Method 2800 is shown in FIG. 28.

At block 2810, a plurality of regions (e.g., non-overlapping regions) ofthe genome of the organism are identified. Each chromosomal regionincludes a plurality of loci. A region can be 1 Mb in size, or someother equal-size. For the situation of a region being 1 Mb in size, theentire genome can then include about 3,000 regions, each ofpredetermined size and location. Such predetermined regions can vary toaccommodate a length of a particular chromosome or a specified number ofregions to be used, and any other criteria mentioned herein. If regionshave different lengths, such lengths can be used to normalize results,e.g., as described herein. The regions can be specifically selectedbased on certain criteria of the specific organism and/or based onknowledge of the disease being tested. The regions can also bearbitrarily selected.

The chromosomal regions need not be identified prior to obtaining and/oranalyzing the biological sample. For example, the regions can beidentified based on the locations determined for nucleic acid moleculesof the sample, or the distribution of these locations, in a referencegenome of the organism. Regions can be identified if theirrepresentation in the sample is abnormally high or low.

At block 2820, a location of the nucleic acid molecule in a referencegenome of the organism is identified for each of a plurality of nucleicacid molecules. The location may be determined in any of the waysmentioned herein, e.g., by sequencing the fragments to obtain sequencedtags and aligning the sequenced tags to the reference genome. Aparticular haplotype of a molecule can also be determined for thehaplotype-specific methods.

Blocks 2830-2850 are performed for each of the chromosomal regions. Atblock 2830, a respective group of nucleic acid molecules is identifiedas being from the chromosomal region based on the identified locations.The respective group can include at least one nucleic acid moleculelocated at each of the plurality of loci of the chromosomal region. Inone embodiment, the group can be fragments that align to a particularhaplotype of the chromosomal region, e.g., as in the RHDO method above.In another embodiment, the group can be of any fragment that aligns tothe chromosomal region.

At block 2840, a computer system calculates a respective value of therespective group of nucleic acid molecules. The respective value definesa property of the nucleic acid molecules of the respective group. Therespective value can be any of the values mentioned herein. For example,the value can be the number or percentage of fragments in the group or astatistical value of a size distribution of the fragments in the group.The respective value can also be a normalized value, e.g., a tag countof the region divided by the total number of tag counts for the sampleor the number of tag counts for a reference region. The respective valuecan also be a difference or ratio from another value (e.g., in RHDO),thereby providing the property of a difference for the region.

At block 2850, the respective value is compared to a reference value todetermine a classification of whether the first chromosomal regionexhibits a decreased or increased measured genomic representation. Adecreased measured genomic representation can correspond to a deletionin the genomic DNA of one or more cells, wherein these cells make up aportion of the cells in the organism from which the biological samplewas obtained. Similarly, an increased measured genomic representationcan correspond to an amplification in the genomic DNA of one or morecells. The reference value can be any threshold or reference valuedescribed herein. For example, the reference value could be astatistical (e.g., mean) or threshold value determined for one or morenormal samples. For RHDO, the respective value could be the differenceor ratio of tag counts for the two haplotypes, and the reference valuecan be a threshold for determining that a statistically significantdeviation exists. As another example, the reference value could be thetag count or size value for another haplotype or region, and thecomparison can include taking a difference or ratio (or function ofsuch) and then determining if the difference or ratio is greater than athreshold value.

The reference value can vary based on the results of other regions. Forexample, if neighboring regions also show a deviation (although smallcompared to one threshold, e.g., a z-score of 3), then a lower thresholdcan be used. For example, if three consecutive regions are all above afirst threshold, then a disease may be more likely. Thus, this firstthreshold may be lower than another threshold that is required toidentify the disease from non-consecutive regions. Having three regions(or more than three) having even a small deviation can have a low enoughprobability of a chance effect that the sensitivity and specificity canbe preserved.

At block 2860, an amount of genomic regions classified as exhibiting adecreased or increased measured genomic representation is determined.The chromosomal regions that are counted can have restrictions. Forexample, only regions that are contiguous with at least one other regionmay be counted (or contiguous regions can be required to be of a certainsize, e.g., 4 or more regions). For embodiments where the regions arenot equal, the number can also account for the respective lengths (e.g.,the number could be a total length of the aberrant regions).

At block 2870, the amount is compared to a threshold amount to determinea classification of the sample. As examples, the classification can bewhether the organism has SLE, a level of SLE, and a prognosis of SLE. Inone embodiment, all aberrant regions are counted and a single thresholdvalue is used regardless of where the regions appear. In anotherembodiment, a threshold value can vary based on the locations and sizeof the regions that are counted. For example, the amount of regions on aparticular chromosome or arm of a chromosome may be compared to athreshold for that particular chromosome (or arm). Multiple thresholdsmay be used. For instance, the amount of aberrant regions on aparticular chromosome (or arm) must be greater than a first thresholdvalue, and the total amount of aberrant regions in the genome must begreater than a second threshold value. The threshold value can be apercentage of the regions that are determined to exhibit a deletion oran amplification.

This threshold value for the amount of regions can also depend on howstrong the imbalance is for the regions counted. For example, the amountof regions that are used as the threshold for determining aclassification of cancer or SLE can depend on the specificity andsensitivity (aberrant threshold) used to detect an aberration in eachregion. For example, if the aberrant threshold is low (e.g. z-score of2), then the amount threshold may be selected to be high (e.g., 150).But, if the aberrant threshold is high (e.g., a z-score of 3), then theamount threshold may be lower (e.g., 50). The amount of regions showingan aberration can also be a weighted value, e.g., one region that showsa high imbalance can be weighted higher than a region that just shows alittle imbalance (i.e. there are more classifications than just positiveand negative for the aberration). As an example, a sum of z-scores canbe used, thereby using the weighted values.

Accordingly, the amount (which may include number and/or size) ofchromosomal regions showing significant over- or under-representation ofa normalized tag count (or other respective value for the property ofthe group) can be used for reflecting the severity of disease. Forcancer, the amount of chromosomal regions with an aberrant normalizedtag count can be determined by two factors, namely the number (or size)of chromosomal aberrations in the tumor tissues and the fractionalconcentration of tumor-derived DNA in the biological sample (e.g.plasma). More advanced cancers tend to exhibit more (and larger)chromosomal aberrations. Hence, more cancer-associated chromosomalaberrations would potentially be detectable in the sample (e.g. plasma).In patients with more advanced cancer, the higher tumor load would leadto a higher fractional concentration of tumor-derived DNA in the plasma.As a result, the tumor-associated chromosomal aberrations would be moreeasily detected in the plasma sample.

One possible approach for improving the sensitivity without sacrificingthe specificity is to take into account the result of the adjacentchromosomal segment. In one embodiment, the cutoff for the z-scoreremains to be >2 and <−2. However, a chromosomal region would beclassified as potentially aberrant only when two consecutive segmentswould show the same type of aberrations, e.g. both segments have az-score of >2. In other embodiments, the z-score of neighboring segmentscan be added together using a higher cutoff value. For example, thez-scores of three consecutive segments can be summed and a cutoff valueof 5 can be used. This concept can be extended to more than threeconsecutive segments.

The combination of amount and aberrant thresholds can also depend on thepurpose of the analysis, and any prior knowledge of the organism (orlack thereof). For example, if screening a normal healthy population forcancer, then one would typically use high specificity, potentially inboth the amount of regions (i.e. high threshold for the number ofregions) and an aberrant threshold for when a region is identified ashaving an aberration. But, in a patient with higher risk (e.g. a patientcomplaining of a lump or family history, smoker, chronic humanpapillomavirus (HPV) carrier, hepatitis virus carrier, or other viruscarrier) then the thresholds could be lower in order to have moresensitivity (less false negatives).

In one embodiment, if one uses a 1-Mb resolution and a lower detectionlimit of 6.3% of tumor-derived DNA for detecting a chromosomalaberration, the number of molecules in each 1-Mb segment would need tobe 60,000. This would be translated to approximately 180 million (60,000reads/Mb×3,000 Mb) alignable reads for the whole genome.

A smaller segment size would give a higher resolution for detectingsmaller chromosomal aberrations. However, this would increase therequirement of the number of molecules to be analyzed in total. A largersegment size would reduce the number of molecules required for theanalysis at the expense of resolution. Therefore, only largeraberrations can be detected. In one implementation, larger regions couldbe used, segments showing an aberration could be subdivided and thesesubregions analyzed to obtain better resolution (e.g., as is describedabove). If one has an estimate for a size of deletion or amplificationto be detected (or minimum concentration to detect), the number ofmolecules to analyze can be determined.

CNA and methylation can be used to determine respective classificationsfor a level of cancer or SLE, where the classifications are combined toprovide a third classification. Besides such a combination, CNA can beused to change cutoff values for the methylation analysis and toidentify false-positives by comparing methylation levels for groups ofregions having different CNA characteristics. For instance, themethylation level for over-abundance (e.g., Z_(CNA)>3) can be comparedto methylation level for normal abundance (e.g., −3<Z_(CNA)<3). First,the impact of CNA on methylation levels is described.

B. Alteration in Methylation Density at Regions with Chromosomal Gainsand Losses

As tumor tissues generally show an overall hypomethylation, the presenceof tumor-derived DNA in the plasma of cancer patients would lead to thereduction in the methylation density when compared with non-cancersubjects. The degree of hypomethylation in the plasma of cancer patientsis theoretically proportional to the fractional concentration oftumor-derived DNA in the plasma sample. In contrast, the degree ofhypomethylation in the plasma of an SLE patient is not necessarilyproportional to the concentration of DNA derived from a particular organor tissue type, and can be related to (or confounded by) an abnormaldistribution of sizes of DNA molecules.

For regions showing a chromosomal gain in the tumor tissues, anadditional dosage of tumor DNA would be released from the amplified DNAsegments into the plasma. This increased contribution of tumoral DNA tothe plasma would theoretically lead to a higher degree ofhypomethylation in the plasma DNA for the affected region. An additionalfactor is that genomic regions showing amplification would be expectedto confer growth advantage to the tumor cells, and thus would beexpected to be expressed. Such regions are generally hypomethylated.

In contrast, for regions that show chromosomal loss in the tumor tissue,the reduced contribution of tumoral DNA to plasma would lead to a lowerdegree of hypomethylation compared with regions with no copy numberchange. An additional factor is that genomic regions that are deleted intumor cells might contain tumor suppressor genes and it might beadvantageous to tumor cells to have such regions silenced. Thus, suchregions are expected to have a higher chance of being hypermethylated.

Here, we use the results of two HCC patients (TBR34 and TBR36) toillustrate this effect. FIGS. 29A (TBR36) and 30A (TBR34) have circleshighlighting regions with chromosomal gains or losses and thecorresponding methylation analysis. FIGS. 29B and 30B show plots ofmethylation z-scores for losses, normal, and gains for patients TBR36and TBR34, respectively.

FIG. 29A shows Circos plots demonstrating the CNA (inner ring) andmethylation changes (outer ring) in the bisulfite-treated plasma DNA forHCC patient TBR36. The red circles highlight the regions withchromosomal gains or losses. Regions showing chromosomal gains were morehypomethylated than regions without copy number changes. Regions showingchromosomal losses were less hypomethylated than regions without copynumber changes. FIG. 29B is a plot of methylation z-scores for regionswith chromosomal gains and loss, and regions without copy number changefor the HCC patient TBR36. Compared with regions without copy changes,regions with chromosomal gains had more negative z-scores (morehypomethylation) and regions with chromosomal losses had less negativez-scores (less hypomethylated).

FIG. 30A shows Circos plots demonstrating the CNA (inner ring) andmethylation changes (outer ring) in the bisulfite-treated plasma DNA forHCC patient TBR34. FIG. 30B is a plot of methylation z-scores forregions with chromosomal gains and loss, and regions without copy numberchange for the HCC patient TBR34. The difference in methylationdensities between regions with chromosomal gains and losses was largerin patient TBR36 than in patient TBR34 because the fractionalconcentration of tumor-derived DNA in the former patient was higher.

In this example, the regions used to determine CNA are the same as theregions used to determine methylation. In one embodiment, the respectiveregion cutoff values are dependent on whether the respective regionexhibits a deletion or an amplification. In one implementation, arespective region cutoff value (e.g., the z-score cutoff used todetermine hypomethylation) has a larger magnitude when the respectiveregion exhibits an amplification than when no amplification is exhibited(e.g., the magnitude could be greater than 3, and a cutoff of less than−3 can be used). Thus, for testing hypomethylation, a respective regioncutoff value can have a larger negative value when the respective regionexhibits an amplification than when no amplification is exhibited. Suchan implementation is expected to improve the specificity of the test fordetecting cancer.

In another implementation, a respective region cutoff value has asmaller magnitude (e.g., less than 3) than when the respective regionexhibits a deletion than when no deletion is exhibited. Thus, fortesting hypomethylation, a respective region cutoff value can have aless negative value when the respective region exhibits a deletion thanwhen no deletion is exhibited. Such an implementation is expected toimprove the sensitivity of the test for detecting cancer. The adjustmentof the cutoff values in the above implementations can be changeddepending on the desired sensitivity and specificity for a particularlydiagnostic scenario. In other embodiments, the methylation and CNAmeasurements can be used in conjunction with other clinical parameters(e.g. imaging results or serum biochemistry) for prediction of cancer.

C. Using CNA to Select Regions

As described above, we have shown that the plasma methylation densitywould be altered in regions having copy number aberrations in the tumortissues. At regions with copy number gain in the tumor tissue, increasedcontribution of hypomethylated tumoral DNA to the plasma would lead to alarger degree of hypomethylation of plasma DNA compared with regionswithout a copy number aberration. Conversely, at regions with copynumber loss in the tumor tissue, the reduced contribution ofhypomethylated cancer-derived DNA to the plasma would lead to a lesserdegree of hypomethylation of plasma DNA. This relationship between themethylation density of plasma DNA and the relative representation canpotentially be used for differentiating hypomethylation resultsassociated with the presence of cancer-associated DNA and othernon-cancerous causes (e.g., SLE) of hypomethylation in plasma DNA. Adependence of methylation density on copy number aberration (e.g.,plasma DNA molecules that originate from regions with copy number gaintend to be less methylated than other plasma DNA molecules) can indicatecancer, while weak or no dependence can indicate SLE. For example, ifthe difference (or ratio) between methylation levels of two groups ofregions having different CNA exceeds a cutoff, then cancer can beidentified. If the difference (or ratio) between methylation levels oftwo groups of regions having different CNA does not exceed a cutoff,then SLE (or another auto-immune disease) can be identified. An initialstep of determining that an aberration in methylation levels exists canbe performed.

To illustrate this approach, we analyzed the plasma samples of twohepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients and two patients with SLEwithout a cancer. These two SLE patients (SLE04 and SLE10) showed theapparent presence of hypomethylation and CNAs in plasma. For patientSLE04, 84% bins showed hypomethylation and 11.2% bins showed CNA. Forpatient SLE10, 10.3% bins showed hypomethylation and 5.7% bins showedCNA.

FIGS. 31A and 31B show results of plasma hypomethylation and CNAanalysis for SLE patients SLE04 and SLE10. The outer circle shows themethylation z-scores (Z_(meth)) at 1 Mb resolution. The bins withmethylation Z_(meth)<−3 were in red and those with Z_(meth)>−3 were ingrey. The inner circle shows the CNA z-scores (Z_(CNA)). The green, redand grey dots represent bins with Z_(CNA)>3, <3 and between −3 to 3,respectively. In these two SLE patients, hypomethylation and CNA changeswere observed in plasma.

To determine if the changes in methylation and CNA were consistent withthe presence of cancer-derived DNA in plasma, we compared the Z_(meth)for regions with Z_(CNA)>3, <−3 and between −3 to 3. For methylationchanges and CNA contributed by cancer-derived DNA in plasma, regionswith Z_(CNA)<−3 would be expected to be less hypomethylated and had lessnegative Z_(meth). In contrast, regions with Z_(CNA)>3 would be expectedto be more hypomethylated and had more negative Z_(meth). Forillustration purpose, we applied one-sided rank sum test to compare theZ_(meth) for regions with CNA (i.e. regions with Z_(CNA)<−3 or >3) withregions without CNA (i.e. regions with Z_(CNA) between −3 and 3). Inother embodiments, other statistical tests, for example but not limitedto Student's t-test, analysis of variance (ANOVA) test andKruskal-Wallis test can be used.

FIGS. 32A and 32B show Z_(meth) analysis for regions with and withoutCNA for the plasma of two HCC patients (TBR34 and TBR36). Regions withZ_(CNA)<−3 and >3 represent regions with under- and over-representationin plasma, respectively. In both TBR34 and TBR36, regions that wereunder-represented in plasma (i.e. regions with Z_(CNA)<−3) hadsignificantly higher Z_(meth) (P-value<10⁻⁵, one-sided rank sum test)than regions with normal representation in plasma (i.e. regions withZ_(CNA) between −3 and 3). A normal representation correspond to thatexpected for a euploid genome. For regions with over-representation inplasma (i.e. regions with Z_(CNA)>3), they had significantly lowerZ_(meth) than regions with normal representation in plasma(P-value<10⁻⁵, one-sided rank sum test). All these changes wereconsistent with the presence of hypomethylated tumoral DNA in the plasmasamples.

FIGS. 32C and 32D show Z_(meth) analysis for regions with and withoutCNA for the plasma of two SLE patients (SLE04 and SLE10). Regions withZ_(CNA)<−3 and >3 represent regions with under- and over-representationin plasma, respectively. For SLE04, regions that were under-representedin plasma (i.e. regions with Z_(CNA)<−3) did not have significantlyhigher Z_(meth) (P-value=0.99, one-sided rank sum test) than regionswith normal representation in plasma (i.e. regions with Z_(CNA) between−3 and 3) and regions with over-representation in plasma (i.e. regionswith Z_(CNA)>3) did not have significantly lower Z_(meth) than regionswith normal representation in plasma (P-value=0.68, one-sided rank sumtest). These results were different from the expected changes due to thepresence of tumor-derived hypomethylated DNA in plasma. Similarly, forSLE10, regions with Z_(CNA)<−3 did not have significantly higherZ_(meth) than regions with Z_(CNA) between −3 and 3 (P-value=0.99,one-sided rank sum test).

A reason of not having the typical cancer-associated pattern betweenZ_(meth) and Z_(CNA) in the SLE patients is that, in the SLE patients,the CNA is not present in a specific cell type that also exhibitshypomethylation. Instead, the observed apparent presence of CNA andhypomethylation is due to the altered size distribution of circulatingDNA in SLE patients. The altered size distribution could potentiallyalter the sequenced read densities for different genomic regions leadingto apparent CNAs as the references were derived from healthy subjects.As described in the previous sections, there is a correlation betweenthe size of a circulating DNA fragment and its methylation density.Therefore, the altered size distribution can also lead to an aberrantmethylation.

Although the regions with Z_(CNA)>3 had slightly lower methylationlevels than regions with Z_(CNA) between −3 and 3, the p-value for thecomparison was far higher than those observed in two cancer patients. Inone embodiment, the p-value can be used as a parameter to determine thelikelihood of a tested case for having a cancer. In another embodiment,the difference in Z_(meth) between regions with normal and aberrantrepresentation can be used as a parameter for indicating the likelihoodof the presence of cancer. In one embodiment, a group of cancer patientscan be used to establish the correlation between Z_(meth) and Z_(CNA)and to determine the thresholds for different parameters so as toindicate the changes are consistent with the presence of cancer-derivedhypomethylated DNA in the tested plasma sample.

Accordingly, in one embodiment, a CNA analysis can be performed todetermine a first set of regions that all exhibit one of: a deletion, anamplification, or normal representation. For example, the first set ofregions can all exhibit a deletion, or all exhibit an amplification, orall exhibit a normal representation (e.g., have a normal first amount ofregions, such as a normal Z_(meth)). A methylation level can bedetermined for this first set of regions (e.g., the first methylationlevel of method 2800 can correspond to the first set of regions).

The CNA analysis can determine a second set of regions that all exhibita second of: a deletion, an amplification, or normal representation. Thesecond set of regions would exhibit differently than the first set. Forexample, if the first set of regions were normal, then the second set ofregions can exhibit a deletion or an amplification. A second methylationlevel can be calculated based on the respective numbers of DNA moleculesmethylated at sites in the second set of regions.

A parameter can then be computed between the first methylation level andthe second methylation. For example, a difference or ratio can becomputed and compared to a cutoff value. The difference or ratio canalso be subjected to a probability distribution (e.g., as part of astatistical test) to determine the probability of obtaining the value,and this probability can be compared to a cutoff value to determine alevel of cancer based on methylation levels. Such a cutoff can be chosento differentiate samples having cancer and those not having cancer(e.g., SLE).

In one embodiment, a methylation level can be determined for the firstset of region or a mix of regions (i.e., mix of regions showingamplification, deletion, and normal). This methylation level can then becompared to a first cutoff as part of a first stage of analysis. If thecutoff is exceeded, thereby indicating a possibility of cancer, then theanalysis above can be performed to determine whether the indication wasa false positive. The final classification for the level of cancer canthus include the comparison of the parameter for the two methylationlevels to a second cutoff.

The first methylation level can be a statistical value (e.g., average ormedian) of region methylation levels calculated for each region of thefirst set of regions. The second methylation level can also be astatistical value of region methylation levels calculated for eachregion of the second set of regions. As examples. the statistical valuescan be determined using one-sided rank sum test, Student's t-test,analysis of variance (ANOVA) test, or Kruskal-Wallis test.

As discussed above, plasma DNA of SLE patients may exhibit excesses orreductions in reads from certain genomic regions that are not likely tooriginate from cells with copy number aberrations. Besides analyzingmethylation for certain regions (e.g., regions grouped by CNA), genomiccharacteristics may describe an altered plasma DNA methylation profileand regional representation yet without the correlation expected if thechanges came from the same cell, as for cancer.

VI. SELECTION OF DNA MOLECULES USING ANTIBODIES

Anti-dsDNA antibody titers in patients have been shown to correlate withlevels of SLE and other auto-immune diseases. Accordingly, in someembodiments of the present methods, DNA molecules can be selected usingantibodies prior to analysis. For example, a biological sample can beincubated with a binding partner for anti-dsDNA antibodies, or passedover a chromatography column functionalized with such a binding partner.The antibodies are captured by the binding partner along with any DNAmolecules to which the antibodies remain bound. Antibody-bound DNAmolecules can then be removed (for example, eluted) from the bindingpartner, and non-antibody-bound DNA molecules can be collected from theportion of the sample that does not associate with the binding partner.Thus, antibody-bound and non-antibody-bound fractions of the sample canbe collected, and these fractions can be analyzed separately. In somecases, anti-dsDNA antibodies are of the immunoglobulin G (IgG) isotype.A suitable IgG binding partner is protein G. Other binding partners canbe used instead or in addition.

Antibody-based selection of DNA molecules can be performed in any of themethods disclosed herein. The biological sample used in any of thesemethods can be an antibody-bound fraction or IgG-bound fraction. On theother hand, the biological sample can be a non-antibody-bound fractionor non-IgG-bound fraction. The sample, or molecules of the sample, canthen be analyzed as desired, for example to determine the sizes orsequences of molecules, the methylation levels of molecules, genomicregions, or portions of the genome of the organism from which the samplewas obtained, and/or the representation of genomic regions in moleculesof the sample.

VII. MATERIALS AND METHODS A. Case Recruitment and Sample Processing

SLE patients attending the rheumatology clinic at the Department ofMedicine and Therapeutics, Prince of Wales Hospital, Hong Kong, wererecruited with written informed consent. The study was approved by theJoint Chinese University of Hong Kong-Hospital Authority New TerritoriesEast Cluster Clinical Research Ethics Committee. All patients fulfilledthe American College of Rheumatology diagnostic criteria and their lupusdisease activities were assessed by the Systemic Lupus ErythematosusDisease Activity Index (SLEDAI)⁴³. Peripheral blood was collected inEDTA-containing tubes. The blood samples were first centrifuged at 1,600g for 10 min at 4° C. and the plasma portion was further subjected tocentrifugation at 16,000 g for 10 min at 4° C. to pellet the residualcells⁴⁴. The blood cell portion was centrifuged at 2,500 g for 5 min toremove any remaining plasma. DNA was extracted from plasma using the DSPBlood Mini Kit (Qiagen) with modifications of the manufacturer'sprotocol as previously reported⁴⁵. DNA was extracted from the peripheralblood cells using the QIAamp Blood Mini Kit (Qiagen) according to themanufacturer's blood protocol.

B. Preparation of DNA Libraries

Plasma DNA libraries were prepared using the Paired-End SequencingSample Preparation Kit (Illumina) according to the manufacturer'sinstructions, except the following modifications for preparing the DNAlibraries for bisulfite sequencing. The methylated adapters (Illumina)were ligated to the DNA fragments. Then, the adapter-ligated DNAmolecules, either treated or untreated with sodium bisulfite, wereenriched by 10 cycles of PCR using the following recipe: 2.5U PfuTurboCxhotstart DNA polymerase (Agilent Technologies), 1× PfuTurboCx reactionbuffer, 25 μM dNTPs, 1 μl PCR Primer PE 1.0 and 1 μl PCR Primer PE 2.0(Illumina) in a 50 μl-reaction. The thermocycling profile was: 95° C.for 2 min, 98° C. for 30 s, then 10 cycles of 98° C. for 15 s, 60° C.for 30 s and 72° C. for 4 min, with a final step of 72° C. for 10 min⁴⁶.The PCR products were purified using AMPure XP magnetic beads.

C. DNA Sequencing and Alignment

The DNA libraries were sequenced for 75 bp in a paired-end format onHiSeq2000 instruments (Illumina). DNA clusters were generated with aPaired-End Cluster Generation Kit v3 on a cBot instrument (Illumina).Real-time image analysis and base calling were performed using the HiSeqControl Software (HCS) v1.4 and Real Time Analysis (RTA) Software v1.13(Illumina), by which the automated matrix and phasing calculations werebased on the spiked-in PhiX control v3 sequenced with the DNA libraries.After base calling, adapter sequences and low quality bases (i.e.quality score<20) on the fragment ends were removed.

For the analysis of DNA sequencing data, the sequenced reads werealigned to the non-repeat-masked human reference genome (NCBI build37/hg19) with using the Short Oligonucleotide Alignment Program 2(SOAP2) as previously described³⁸. Reads mappable to a unique genomiclocation were selected. Ambiguous or duplicated reads were removed.Sequenced reads with insert size≦600 bp were retained for analysis.Paired-end sequencing, where sequencing was performed for both ends ofeach DNA molecule, was used to analyze each sample in this study. Byaligning the pair of end sequences of each DNA molecule to the referencehuman genome and noting the genome coordinates of the extreme ends ofthe sequenced reads, one could determine the lengths of the sequencedDNA molecules. Plasma DNA molecules are naturally fragmented into smallmolecules and the sequencing libraries for plasma DNA are typicallyprepared without any fragmentation steps^(39,47). Hence, the lengthsdeduced by the sequencing represented the sizes of the original plasmaDNA molecules.

For the analysis of bisulfite DNA sequencing data, an additional stepfor identification of methylated cytosines was performed. The trimmedreads were processed by a methylation data analysis pipeline calledMethy-Pipe⁴⁸. In order to align the bisulfite converted sequencingreads, we first performed in silico conversion of all cytosine residuesto thymines, on the Watson and Crick strands separately, using thereference human genome (NCBI build 37/hg19). We then performed in silicoconversion of each cytosine to thymine in all the processed reads andkept the positional information of each converted residue. After that,SOAP2 was used to align the converted reads to the two pre-convertedreference human genomes, with a maximum of two mismatches allowed foreach aligned read. The cytosines originally present on the sequencedreads were recovered based on the positional information kept during thein silico conversion. The recovered cytosines among the CpGdinucleotides were scored as methylated. Thymines among the CpGdinucleotides were scored as unmethylated. We determined the methylationdensity of the whole human genome or any particular regions in thegenome by determining the total number of unconverted cytosines at CpGsites as a proportion of all CpG sites covered by sequence reads mappedto the genome or the particular regions in the genome.

The unmethylated lambda DNA included during library preparation servedas an internal control for estimating the efficiency of sodium bisulfitemodification. All cytosines on the lambda DNA are converted to thyminesif the bisulfite conversion efficiency is 100%.

VIII. EXAMPLE A. Abstract of Example

We performed a high-resolution analysis of the biologicalcharacteristics of plasma DNA in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE)patients using massively parallel genomic and methylomic sequencing. Anumber of plasma DNA abnormalities were found. First, aberrations inmeasured genomic representations (MGRs) were identified in the plasmaDNA of SLE patients. The extent of the aberrations in MGRs in plasma DNAcorrelated with anti-dsDNA antibody level. Second, the plasma DNA ofactive SLE patients exhibited skewed molecular size distributionprofiles with a significantly increased proportion of short DNAfragments. The extent of plasma DNA shortening in SLE patientscorrelated with the SLE disease activity index (SLEDAI) and anti-dsDNAantibody level. Third, the plasma DNA of active SLE patients showeddecreased methylation densities. The extent of hypomethylation in plasmaDNA correlated with SLEDAI and anti-dsDNA antibody level. To explore theimpact of anti-dsDNA antibody on plasma DNA in SLE, a column-basedprotein G capture approach was employed to fractionate the immunoglobinG (IgG) bound and non-IgG-bound DNA in plasma. Compared with healthyindividuals, SLE patients had elevated proportions of IgG-bound DNA inplasma. More IgG binding occurs at genomic locations showing increasedMGRs. Furthermore, the IgG-bound plasma DNA was shorter in size and morehypomethylated than the non-IgG bound plasma DNA. These observationshave enhanced our understanding of the spectrum of plasma DNAaberrations in SLE and may provide new molecular markers for monitoringthis disease. Our results also suggest that caution should be exercisedwhen interpreting plasma DNA-based noninvasive prenatal testing andcancer testing conducted for SLE patients.

B. Significance Statement

Through the use of massively parallel sequencing, we have demonstrated aspectrum of plasma DNA abnormalities in patients with systemic lupuserythematosus (SLE). These abnormalities include aberrant measuredgenomic representations, hypomethylation and shortening. The binding ofanti-dsDNA to plasma DNA appears to be an important factor associatedwith these abnormalities. These findings provide interesting insightsinto the biology of plasma DNA in an autoimmune disease and havepotential implications for the development of new molecular markers forSLE.

C. Data Deposition

Sequence data for the 69 subjects studied in this work who had consentedto data archiving have been deposited at the European Genome-PhenomeArchive (EGA), www.ebi.ac.uk/ega/, which is hosted by the EuropeanBioinformatics Institute (EBI) (accession no. EGAS00001000962).

D. Introduction

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a prototype autoimmune diseasewhich has the potential of affecting multiple organ systems includingthe skin, muscles, bones, lungs, kidneys, as well as the cardiovascularand central nervous systems^(5,9). It can cause various tissueinflammation and damages in a chronic manner. Renal complications,infections, myocardial infarctions and central nervous systeminvolvement are the major causes of death in SLE patients⁴⁹. Theextremely variable clinical manifestations and the absence of effectivetests to monitor disease activity present a challenge for clinicalmanagement^(9,49).

The etiology of SLE remains unknown and is multifactorial, involvinggenetic, epigenetic, environmental, hormonal and immunologicfactors^(9,50). Cell death has been regarded as an important event inthe pathogenesis of SLE as it leads to the release of antigens, such asnucleic acids, for immune complex formation, which may trigger a cascadeof immune responses against the bodily tissues of the SLEpatients^(12,14). Defects in the mechanism of cell death¹⁵, impairmentin the clearance of dead cells¹⁷ and deficiency in DNase activity¹⁸ havebeen implicated in SLE and suggested to result in the generation ofautoantigens^(12,14).

In addition, epigenetic regulation is an important mechanism formaintaining the normal functioning of the immune system. Perturbation ofthe epigenetic regulation can disrupt the immunologic self-tolerance⁵¹.Following the demonstration of impaired DNA methylation of T cells inSLE patients⁵², an increasing amount of evidence has highlighted thecontribution of epigenetic mechanisms in this disorder^(53,54).Hypomethylated apoptotic DNA from cells has been shown to be potentiallypathogenic and may provoke the humoral and cellular immune responses inSLE³⁴.

SLE was one of the pathological conditions reported to be associatedwith the presence of circulating DNA nearly fifty years ago²⁰. Sincethen, studies using various detection methods have demonstrated theelevations of circulating DNA in SLE patients²⁰⁻²². In addition, earlyreports have highlighted that the circulating DNA that form immunecomplexes with autoantibodies in SLE patients display a characteristicfragmentation pattern which resembles the DNA laddering pattern ofapoptosis by gel electrophoresis²⁶. These findings have suggested aninterplay of apoptosis and circulating DNA in the pathogenesis of SLE.However, there have been very few studies reporting the detailedbiological characterization of circulating DNA in SLE.

The advent of massively parallel sequencing has enabled theinvestigation of circulating DNA at single-base resolution on agenome-wide scale, in fields such as non-invasive prenataltesting^(37,47,55) and cancer detection^(41,42,56,57). It would be ofgreat interest to use this technology to explore the genomic andmethylomic features of plasma DNA in SLE patients, as we postulated thatthe pathogenesis of deregulated cell death, altered epigeneticregulation and production of autoimmune antibodies in SLE patients mightcause abnormal patterns of circulating DNA. Hence, in this study, wedelineated the biological characteristics of DNA in the plasma of SLEpatients using genomewide genomic and methylomic sequencing.

E. Results i. Genomic Representations of Plasma DNA in SLE Patients

First, we assessed if the plasma DNA molecules in the circulation of SLEpatients were evenly distributed across the genome. Plasma DNA from 24SLE patients and 11 healthy individuals were analyzed by paired-endmassively parallel sequencing. SLE patients were divided into active andinactive groups according to their SLE disease activity index (SLEDAI),which is a clinical index for the measurement of disease activity⁴³.Fifteen patients with SLEDAI below or equal to 6 (median: 4, range: 0-6)were classified as the inactive group, while 9 patients with SLEDAI over6 (median: 8, range: 7-16) were classified as the active group. A medianof 120 million (range: 18-207 million) alignable and nonduplicatedpaired-end reads were obtained for the plasma DNA per case forsubsequent analyses.

We assessed the genomic distribution of plasma DNA across segments(bins) of the human genome, each of 1 Mb in size. The number of sequencereads in each bin was tallied and adjusted by GC-correction aspreviously described⁴¹. The control group consisted of 11 healthyindividuals and this group showed even genomic distribution of theplasma DNA molecules as reported previously (FIG. 33, the innermost ringof the circos plot⁵⁸). To determine if the plasma DNA profiles of SLEpatients showed differences in genomic representation, we compared thenumber of plasma DNA sequences aligned to a bin to the mean numberdetected among the control group for the same bin. We expressed thedifference as a z-score, which was the number of standard deviations(SDs) deviated from the mean of the control group. Bins with z-scoresbelow −3 and above+3 were considered as showing significant under- andover-representation, respectively. We termed these changes as aberrantmeasured genomic representations (MGRs).

The percentages of bins with aberrant MGRs among the healthyindividuals, inactive and active SLE patients are shown in FIG. 34(“MGR”). We tested for aberrant MGRs in the plasma of each healthyindividual by comparing against the genomic distributions of theremaining control group. None of the healthy individuals exhibited anybin with aberrant MGRs in plasma. The percentages of bins with aberrantMGRs were higher among the SLE patients (active group: median 8.1%,range 1.1-52%; inactive group: median 6.5%, range 0.5-32.1%) whencompared with the controls (P<0.0001, Kruskal-Wallis test) (Table 1).The MGR patterns of one representative case in each of the control,inactive SLE and active SLE groups are shown in FIG. 33. Correlationanalyses were performed between the percentage of bins with aberrantMGRs in SLE patients with the serum anti-dsDNA antibody levels (r=0.604,P=0.0018, Spearman's correlation), and SLEDAI (r=0.226, P=0.29,Spearman's correlation).

ii. Size Analysis of Plasma DNA in SLE Patients

The sizes of plasma DNA molecules in the samples discussed in theprevious section were deduced from the start and end coordinates of thepaired-end reads³⁸. The size distribution profiles of one healthyindividual, one active and one inactive SLE patients are shown in FIG.35. The size distribution of plasma DNA in healthy individuals showed amajor peak at 166 bp and a series of smaller peaks occurring at a 10-bpperiodicity (FIG. 35). The size distribution profiles of the SLEpatients were different. The height of the 166 bp peak was reduced whilethe other peaks for DNA fragments in smaller sizes, particularly thoseshorter than 115 bp, were elevated. These changes were more pronouncedin the active SLE group than the inactive SLE cases.

To systematically compare the size profiles between all samples, wedefined a plasma DNA molecule≦115 bp in size as a short DNA fragment anddetermined the percentage of short plasma DNA molecules in each sample.The data are shown in FIG. 34 (“Size”). The median percentages of shortplasma DNA fragments in the plasma of healthy individuals, inactive SLEand active SLE patients were 10% (range: 8-15%), 14% (range: 8-36%) and31% (range: 11-84%), respectively. Positive correlations were observedbetween the percentage of short DNA fragments and SLEDAI (r=0.532,P=0.0076, Spearman's correlation) and the anti-dsDNA antibody level(r=0.758, P<0.0001, Spearman's correlation).

iii. Methylation Status of DNA in Plasma of SLE Patients

Another sample set consisting of 24 SLE patients and 10 healthyindividuals were subjected to methylation analysis. For the SLEpatients, 4 inactive (S006, S013, S017 and S019) and 4 active cases(S004, S005, S010 and S015) had been studied in the above-mentioned MGRand size analyses. Plasma DNA was bisulfite converted and analyzed bypaired-end massively parallel sequencing as previously described⁴⁰. Amedian of 125 million (range: 26-191 million) alignable andnonduplicated reads were obtained per case for subsequent analysis.Among the 24 SLE cases, 11 were in the inactive SLE group (SLEDAImedian: 3, range: 0-5) and 13 were in the active SLE group (SLEDAImedian: 8, range: 7-18).

The genomewide methylation density of plasma DNA for each case refers tothe proportion of CpG sites deemed to be methylated among all the CpGsites covered by sequence reads⁴⁰. The genomewide methylation density ofthe active SLE group (70.1%±4.5%) was significantly reduced compared toboth the healthy individuals (74.3%±1.4%, P=0.0367, Kuskal-Wallis test,post-hoc Dunn test) and the inactive SLE group (74.4%±1.3%, P=0.0118,Kruskal-Wallis test, post-hoc Dunn test) (FIG. 36).

Next we analyzed the methylation densities of each 1-Mb bin across thegenome. For every bin, the plasma DNA methylation densities of the SLEpatients were compared to the mean methylation density obtained from the10 healthy individuals of the corresponding bin. Bins with methylationdensities that were more than 3 SDs lower or higher than the mean of thecontrol group, namely with z-scores below −3 or above+3, were deemed assignificantly hypo- and hypermethylated, respectively⁵⁷. The percentagesof bins with significant hypomethylation among the healthy individuals,inactive and active SLE patients are shown in FIG. 34 (“Methylation”).Patients in the active group showed more hypomethylated bins (median:42.7%, range: 1-94.7%) than the inactive group (median: 1.2%, range:0-22%) (Table 2). The methylation patterns of one healthy individual,one active and one inactive SLE patients are shown in FIG. 37. Thepercentage of hypomethylated bins correlated with SLEDAI (r=0.653,P=0.0005, Spearman's correlation) and anti-dsDNA antibody levels(r=0.555, P=0.0059, Spearman's correlation) of the SLE patients.

We reported in a previous study that shorter plasma DNA fragments tendto be more hypomethylated⁴⁰. Here we explored if a similar relationshipis present in the plasma of SLE patients. First, the genomewidemethylation density was inversely correlated with the proportion ofshort DNA (≦115 bp) in all individuals (r=−0.550, P=0.0007, Spearman'scorrelation; FIG. 38). Next, we determined the methylation densities ofDNA fragments of different sizes ranging from 20 bp to 250 bp, usingsequence reads that covered at least 1 CpG site⁴⁰ (FIG. 39). Forfragments between 40 bp and 180 bp, which accounted for the majority ofplasma DNA molecules, the same trend as previously reported for theplasma of pregnant women was observed⁴⁰. It is noteworthy that theactive SLE group showed greater reductions in methylation densities withprogressive shortening of the plasma DNA fragments when compared withthe healthy individuals and patients in the inactive SLE group (FIG.39).

iv. Effects of IgG Binding on Plasma DNA of SLE Patients

Autoantibodies have a direct contribution in the pathogenesis ofSLE^(9,49) and are responsible for many of the clinicalmanifestations⁵⁹. One of such autoantibodies is the anti-dsDNA antibody,which can bind to the DNA in plasma⁸. Studies have reported thatIgG-class anti-dsDNA antibody has high avidity for dsDNA and isimplicated in the pathogenesis of SLE^(8,60). We hypothesized that thebinding of anti-dsDNA antibody to plasma DNA might alter the stabilityor clearance of DNA in plasma and might result in observable aberrationsin genomic representation, size or methylation profiles of plasma DNA.To study the effect of anti-dsDNA antibody binding on plasma DNA, twosample sets were recruited: one for genomic representation and sizeanalysis, and the other for methylation level analysis. Each sample setincluded 2 healthy individuals, 2 inactive SLE patients and 2 active SLEpatients. For each case, the plasma sample was divided into 2 portions.One portion was not subjected to any treatment and was termed the neatfraction. The other portion was incubated with protein G and subjectedto column capture. Protein G binds human IgG, including anti-dsDNAantibody. Therefore, column-based protein G capture further allowed theplasma sample to be separated into IgG-bound and non-IgG-boundfractions. The genomic representation, molecular size and methylationprofiles were compared among the neat, IgG-bound and non-IgG-bound DNAfractions.

The percentages of IgG-bound DNA were elevated in the plasma of inactive(median: 42%, range: 6-70%) and active SLE patients (median: 52%, range:14-90%), when compared with the healthy individuals (median: 7%, range:4-8%) (Table 3).

For genomic representation analysis, the z-score for each 1-Mb bin wascalculated in the neat, IgG-bound and non-IgG-bound fractions. Next, wecalculated the z-score difference between the IgG-bound andnon-IgG-bound fractions for each bin, expressed as the ‘IgG bindingindex’. The IgG binding index of each bin was then compared with thez-score in the neat fraction for the corresponding bin (FIG. 40). Wehypothesized that a higher proportion of plasma DNA fragmentsoriginating from regions showing increased MGRs were bound by anti-dsDNAantibody and would be found in the IgG-bound fraction. Hence, the IgGbinding index for such locations should be higher. For regionsexhibiting decreased MGRs, the reverse would be true and the IgG bindingindex should be more negative. Indeed, for SLE cases with highanti-dsDNA antibody levels (S081, S072, S112), the z-scores of bins withaberrant MGRs in the neat fractions showed a positive relationship withthe corresponding IgG binding index (r=0.31, p<0.0001, Pearson'scorrelation) (FIG. 40).

For the size analysis, the SLE case (S073) with SLEDAI 0 and negativeanti-dsDNA antibody showed similar plasma DNA size distribution profilesin the neat, IgG-bound and non-IgG-bound fractions as the 2 healthyindividuals (FIGS. 41-43). In contrast, for three SLE patients (S081,S082 and S112) with high anti-dsDNA antibody levels and SLEDAI≧6, thesize distribution profiles demonstrated a shortening of plasma DNA ineach of the neat, IgG-bound and non-IgG-bound fractions (FIGS. 44-46).The IgG-bound fractions of these 3 SLE patients showed an enrichment ofshort DNA fragments≦115 bp when compared with the non-IgG-boundfractions (FIG. 47).

For the methylation analysis, compared with the 2 healthy individuals,SLE patients had lower genomewide methylation densities in each of theneat, IgG-bound and non-IgG-bound fractions (Table 4). For the 2 activeSLE patients with high anti-dsDNA antibody levels (S147 and S203), theIgG-bound fractions showed the lowest genomewide methylation densitiesand the highest number of hypomethylated bins. Correspondingly, thenon-IgG-bound fractions had the highest genomewide methylation densitiesand lowest number of hypomethylated bins (Table 4). Among these 2 SLEcases, the percentages of hypomethylated bins decreased in the followingorder: IgG-bound, neat and non-IgG-bound fractions (FIG. 48). On theother hand, for the 2 SLE cases with low anti-dsDNA antibody levels(S124, 125), the genomewide methylation densities and number ofhypomethylated bins were similar between the IgG-bound and non-IgG-boundfractions (Table 4).

F. Discussion

In this study, we investigated the characteristics of plasma DNA of SLEpatients in a high-resolution and genomewide manner with the use ofpaired-end massively parallel sequencing. In general, the higher thedisease activity, the greater the extent and the wider the range ofplasma DNA aberrations were observed. Plasma DNA of SLE patients showedaberrant MGRs, size shortening and hypomethylation. We further obtainedevidence that suggested those plasma DNA aberrations were at least inpart related to DNA binding by IgG class antibodies, for exampleanti-dsDNA antibodies. These observations are particularly interestingbecause they suggest that a blood constituent, namely anti-dsDNAantibody, could alter the molecular characteristics and profile ofplasma DNA.

We showed that the genomic representations of plasma DNA in SLE patientswere different from those of healthy controls. The percentages of binsshowing aberrant MGRs correlated with the anti-dsDNA antibody level butnot the SLEDAI. We therefore hypothesized that antibody binding ofplasma DNA may be related to the observed aberrant MGRs. In the IgGbinding experiments, we indeed showed that more plasma DNA moleculesoriginating from the regions with increased MGRs were bound by IgG.Perhaps the binding of anti-dsDNA antibody to plasma DNA would protectthe bound DNA from enzymatic degradation, or would impair the clearancemechanism⁶¹. Studies have also reported the preferential binding ofanti-DNA antibody to particular DNA sequences, for example, DNAfragments containing certain CpG motifs^(61,62). The retention ofantibody bound DNA might therefore enhance the genomic representation inregions with preference for antibody binding, while regions with lessantibody binding preference would be underrepresented. These changesmight then be detected as increased MGRs and decreased MGRs,respectively.

Currently, a number of noninvasive prenatal tests for fetal aneuploidyscreening were based on the detection of copy number aberrations inmaternal plasma DNA^(45,47,55). Therefore, caution should be taken whenapplying such tests on pregnancies with underlying SLE, as the aberrantMGRs might reflect the activity of SLE, rather than the genomicaberrations originating from the fetus. Similarly, as plasma DNAsequencing for copy number aberrations^(41,42) and hypomethylation⁵⁷ hasbeen reported for cancer detection, one should also be wary of thepossibility of false-positive results for patients with SLE.

In terms of size analysis, plasma of SLE patients showed an increasedproportion of short DNA fragments. The proportion of short DNA fragments(≦115 bp) in the plasma of the active SLE patients was 3-fold higherthan that of healthy individuals and could contribute up to 84% of thetotal DNA in plasma. Hence, when plasma DNA size analysis is used fornoninvasive prenatal testing⁶⁴ in pregnant subjects with SLE, thepossibility of false-positive results due to the underlying SLE shouldbe borne in mind.

The shortening of plasma DNA in SLE patients may be due to the increasedproduction or decreased clearance of short DNA fragments. Our data showthat the shortening of plasma DNA was positively correlated with thedisease activity of the SLE patients and the anti-dsDNA antibody level.Furthermore, the IgG binding data demonstrated that short DNA fragments(≦115 bp) were enriched in the IgG-bound fraction. Therefore, the dataseem to suggest that there is preferential binding of anti-DNA antibodyto short DNA fragments hindering the clearance of short DNA from thecirculation.

Our previous data showed that plasma DNA of healthy individuals andpregnant women have a characteristic size profile with a prominent peakat 166 bp and a series of smaller peaks that are 10 bp apart³⁷. Thischaracteristic pattern was reminiscent of the length of DNA in anucleosomal unit. We have also previously shown that the shorter plasmaDNA molecules tend to be more hypomethylated than the longermolecules⁴⁰. Hypomethylated DNA tended to be less densely packed withhistones⁶⁵ and might be more susceptible to enzymatic degradation and/orprovide more access to antibody binding. We therefore studied themethylation profile of DNA in the plasma of SLE patients. We found thatplasma DNA of active SLE patients was generally hypomethylated whencompared with that of healthy individuals. The degree of hypomethylationcorrelated with the disease activity and the anti-dsDNA antibody level.The IgG binding experiment showed that the IgG-bound plasma DNAmolecules were more hypomethylated (FIG. 48). This observation suggeststhat some hypomethylated DNA molecules are retained in plasma of SLEpatients due to antibody-binding. On the other hand, our data show thatantibody-binding results in an enrichment of short plasma DNA fragments.These observations were therefore consistent with our finding that therewas a relationship between the genomewide methylation density and thesize of plasma DNA in SLE patients, in which the shorter DNA fragmentswere more hypomethylated. This finding was also consistent with ourprevious study on circulating fetal DNA⁴⁰.

Early studies have reported the phenomenon of DNA release fromlymphocytes into serum^(66,67). Interestingly, a number of recentstudies have reported the hypomethylation of T cells in SLEpatients^(68,69). Hence, the release of DNA from hypomethylated cells,such as T cells, might be another mechanism that could contributetowards the hypomethylation of plasma DNA of SLE patients.

In summary, plasma DNA of SLE patients could exhibit aberrant MGRs, sizeshortening and hypomethylation. These features might potentially beuseful as biomarkers for SLE diagnosis or monitoring. Further studieswith larger sample size, serial specimen collections and sub-groupanalysis of cases with specific clinical manifestations (e.g. renalinvolvement) may provide a more in-depth understanding of plasma DNA inSLE patients and its potential value for clinical practice. Our studyalso highlights the possibility that the study of plasma nucleic acidswould be a valuable venue for research for other autoimmune diseases.

G. Materials and Methods of Example i. Case Recruitment and SampleProcessing

SLE patients attending the rheumatology clinic at the Department ofMedicine and Therapeutics, Prince of Wales Hospital, Hong Kong, wererecruited with written informed consent. The study was approved by theJoint Chinese University of Hong Kong-Hospital Authority New TerritoriesEast Cluster Clinical Research Ethics Committee. All patients fulfilledthe American College of Rheumatology diagnostic criteria and their lupusdisease activities were assessed by the Systemic Lupus ErythematosusDisease Activity Index (SLEDAI)⁴³. Peripheral blood was collected inEDTA-containing tubes. The blood samples were first centrifuged at 1600g for 10 min at 4° C. and the plasma portion was further subjected tocentrifugation at 16000 g for 10 min at 4° C. to pellet the residualcells.

ii. Separation of IgG-Bound and Unbound DNA in Plasma

The plasma samples were separated into the IgG-bound and non-IgG-boundfractions using the NAb Spin Column (Thermo Fisher Scientific), whichcontained an immobilized protein G resin for IgG protein capturing. Theseparation was performed according to the manufacturer's instructions,except for the following modifications for purifying the IgG-boundfraction. After the elution of the non-IgG-bound fraction, the NAb SpinColumn was washed with phosphate buffered saline for 6 times. To ensurea complete removal of the non-IgG-bound fraction before elution of theIgG-bound fraction, the final phosphate buffered saline wash wasconfirmed to have undetectable DNA level by using a real-time PCRquantification of the LEP gene⁷⁰. Then, the IgG-bound DNA remaining inthe resin of the column was eluted with 6 washes of freshly preparedbuffer containing 1% sodium dodecyl sulphate and 0.1M sodiumbicarbonate.

iii. DNA Extraction and Preparation of DNA Libraries

DNA was extracted from 4 to 10 mL of plasma using the DSP Blood Mini Kit(Qiagen) with modifications of the manufacturer's protocol as previouslyreported⁴⁵. For DNA sequencing, plasma DNA libraries were prepared usingthe Paired-End Sequencing Sample Preparation Kit (Illumina) aspreviously described³⁸. For bisulfite sequencing, bisulfite-treatedplasma DNA libraries were prepared using the Paired-End SequencingSample Preparation Kit (Illumina) and the EpiTect Plus DNA Bisulfite Kit(Qiagen)⁴⁰.

iv. DNA Sequencing and Alignment

The bisulfite-treated or untreated DNA libraries were sequenced for 75bp of each end in a paired-end format on HiSeq2000 instruments(Illumina). DNA clusters were generated with a Paired-End ClusterGeneration Kit v3 on a cBot instrument (Illumina). Real-time imageanalysis and base calling were performed using the HiSeq ControlSoftware (HCS) v1.4 and Real Time Analysis (RTA) Software v1.13(Illumina), by which the automated matrix and phasing calculations werebased on the spiked-in PhiX control v3 sequenced with the libraries.After base calling, adapter sequences and low quality bases (i.e.quality score<5) on the fragment ends were removed.

For the analysis of sequencing data, the sequenced reads were aligned tothe non-repeat-masked human reference genome (NCBI build 37/hg19) usingthe Short Oligonucleotide Alignment Program 2 (SOAP2)⁷¹ as previouslydescribed⁴⁵. Reads mappable to a unique genomic location were selected.Ambiguous or duplicated reads were removed. Sequenced reads with insertsize≦600 bp were retained for analysis.

v. Molecular Size Determination of Plasma DNA

Paired-end sequencing, where sequencing was performed for both ends ofeach DNA molecule, was used to analyze each sample. By aligning the pairof end sequences of each DNA molecule to the reference human genome andnoting the genome coordinates of the extreme ends of the sequencedreads, the sizes of the sequenced DNA molecules were determined. PlasmaDNA molecules are naturally fragmented and hence the sequencinglibraries for plasma DNA are typically prepared without anyfragmentation steps³⁸. Hence, the lengths deduced by the sequencingrepresented the sizes of the original plasma DNA molecules.

vi. Methylation Analysis of Plasma DNA

For the analysis of bisulfite converted DNA sequencing data, anadditional step for identification of methylated cytosines wasperformed. The trimmed reads were processed by a methylation dataanalysis pipeline called Methy-Pipe⁷². In order to align the bisulfiteconverted sequencing reads, we first performed in silico conversion ofall cytosine residues to thymines, on the Watson and Crick strandsseparately, using the reference human genome (NCBI build 37/hg19). Wethen performed in silico conversion of each cytosine to thymine in allthe processed reads and kept the positional information of eachconverted residue. After that, Methy-pipe was used to align theconverted reads to the two pre-converted reference human genomes, with amaximum of two mismatches allowed for each aligned read. The cytosinesoriginally present on the sequenced reads were recovered based on thepositional information kept during the in silico conversion. Therecovered cytosines among the CpG dinucleotides were scored asmethylated. Thymines among the CpG dinucleotides were scored asunmethylated. We determined the methylation density of the whole humangenome or any particular regions in the genome by determining the totalnumber of unconverted cytosines at CpG sites as a proportion of all CpGsites covered by sequence reads mapped to the genome or the particularregions in the genome.

vii. Statistical Analysis

Analysis was performed by using an in-house bioinformatics program,which was written in Perl and R languages, and SigmaStat version 3.5software (Systat Software Inc.). A p value of less than 0.05 wasconsidered as statistically significant and all probabilities weretwo-tailed.

TABLE 1 Percentage of bins with increased or decreased measured genomicrepresentations (MGRs) in the plasma of SLE patients Percentage of bins(%) with: Anti-dsDNA aberrant MGRs Case antibody increased decreased(increases + Group no. SLEDAI level, IU/mL MGR MGR decreases) InactiveS073 0 0 1.1 0.7 1.8 S006 2 0 1.4 2.9 4.4 S017 2 107 4.3 3.0 7.4 S007 4122 17.5 14.6 32.1 S019 4 139 6.2 5.4 11.6 S020 4 292 2.3 4.1 6.5 S002 4312 2.5 3.9 6.4 S001 4 454 3.3 4.8 8.1 S012 4 500 0.3 0.2 0.5 S014 41000 11.8 9.9 21.8 S011 5 227 1.8 2.4 4.2 S013 5 613 5.3 4.5 9.9 S008 60 0.8 0.6 1.4 S009 6 0 1.5 1.5 3.1 S081 6 1000 6.0 8.0 14.0 Active S0157 1000 9.3 8.9 18.2 S016 8 218 2.0 2.5 4.5 S003 8 228 1.3 1.8 3.1 S018 8230 0.4 0.7 1.1 S010 8 832 4.1 4.0 8.1 S004 8 1000 3.6 2.9 6.5 S112 81000 17.6 15.3 32.9 S082 10 1000 13.9 12.1 26.0 S005 16 1000 26.5 25.552.0

TABLE 2 Percentage of bins with significant plasma DNA hypomethylation,normal methylation and hypermethylation in SLE patients Anti-dsDNAPercentage of bins (%) with: Case antibody significant normalsignificant Group no. SLEDAI level, IU/mL hypomethylation methylationhypermethylation Inactive S105 0 0 1.2 98.8 0.0 S125 0 0 0.0 99.9 0.1S006 2 0 1.2 98.8 0.0 S017 2 107 1.0 99.0 0.0 S053 2 150 0.1 99.7 0.2S019 4 139 1.4 98.6 0.0 S124 4 378 3.0 97.0 0.0 S026 4 1000 0.0 100.00.0 S059 4 1000 5.9 94.0 0.1 S013 5 613 18.6 81.4 0.0 S132 5 758 22.071.9 6.1 Active S015 7 1000 94.7 5.3 0.0 S203 8 793 48.7 51.3 0.0 S010 8832 29.7 70.3 0.0 S031 8 896 79.9 20.1 0.0 S004 8 1000 58.4 41.6 0.0S039 8 1000 42.7 57.3 0.0 S131 8 1000 23.3 76.3 0.3 S147 8 1000 49.250.8 0.0 S033 10 1000 21.5 78.5 0.0 S043 10 1000 1.0 98.9 0.1 S027 121000 64.5 35.5 0.0 S005 16 1000 94.0 6.0 0.0 S086 18 947 8.3 91.4 0.3

TABLE 3 Absolute DNA concentration of neat, IgG-bound and non-IgG-boundfractions Anti- dsDNA Case antibody Neat IgG-bound Non-IgG-bound Groupno. SLEDAI level, IU/mL Conc.† Conc.† Perc.* Conc.† Perc.* Control C020— 0 1350 96 8 1112 92 C021 — 0 1714 139 8 1549 92 C073 — 0 932 30 4 71396 C074 — 0 860 41 5 771 95 Inactive S073 0 0 1544 92 6 1344 94 SLE S1250 0 2379 901 36 1600 64 S124 4 378 1349 983 70 419 30 S081 6 1000 1376634 47 703 53 Active S203 8 793 515 316 65 168 35 SLE S112 8 1000 368355 90 39 10 S147 8 1000 6560 794 14 5086 86 S082 10 1000 1042 277 38459 62 †Concentration, copies/mL of plasma *Percentage, %. Thepercentage calculation was based on the total amount of DNA in theIgG-bound and non-IgG-bound fractions.

TABLE 4 Methylation levels of plasma DNA in neat, IgG-bound andnon-IgG-bound fractions Anti- dsDNA Neat IgG-bound non-IgG-bound Caseantibody No. No. No. Group no. SLEDAI level, IU/mL MD† bins* MD† bins*MD† bins* Control C073 — 0 75.8 0 76.2 11 75.6 3 C074 — 0 77.1 0 78.0 077.2 0 Inactive S125 0 0 74.9 1 74.1 1 73.2 3 SLE S124 4 378 74.7 8273.5 142 74.3 161 Active S203 8 793 70.5 1033 68.6 1646 71.0 766 SLES147 8 1000 70.7 1345 70.1 1624 72.1 896 †Genomewide methylationdensity, % *Number of bins with significant hypomethylation

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X. COMPUTER SYSTEM

Any of the computer systems mentioned herein may utilize any suitablenumber of subsystems. Examples of such subsystems are shown in FIG. 49in computer apparatus 4900. In some embodiments, a computer systemincludes a single computer apparatus, where the subsystems can be thecomponents of the computer apparatus. In other embodiments, a computersystem can include multiple computer apparatuses, each being asubsystem, with internal components.

The subsystems shown in FIG. 49 are interconnected via a system bus4975. Additional subsystems such as a printer 4974, keyboard 4978,storage device(s) 4979, monitor 4976, which is coupled to displayadapter 4982, and others are shown. Peripherals and input/output (I/O)devices, which couple to I/O controller 4971, can be connected to thecomputer system by any number of means known in the art, such as serialport 4977. For example, serial port 4977 or external interface 4981(e.g. Ethernet, Wi-Fi, etc.) can be used to connect computer system 4900to a wide area network such as the Internet, a mouse input device, or ascanner. The interconnection via system bus 4975 allows the centralprocessor 4973 to communicate with each subsystem and to control theexecution of instructions from system memory 4972 or the storagedevice(s) 4979 (e.g., a fixed disk), as well as the exchange ofinformation between subsystems. The system memory 4972 and/or thestorage device(s) 4979 may embody a computer readable medium. Any of thevalues mentioned herein can be output from one component to anothercomponent and can be output to the user.

A computer system can include a plurality of the same components orsubsystems, e.g., connected together by external interface 4981 or by aninternal interface. In some embodiments, computer systems, subsystem, orapparatuses can communicate over a network. In such instances, onecomputer can be considered a client and another computer a server, whereeach can be part of a same computer system. A client and a server caneach include multiple systems, subsystems, or components.

It should be understood that any of the embodiments of the presentinvention can be implemented in the form of control logic using hardware(e.g. an application specific integrated circuit or field programmablegate array) and/or using computer software with a generally programmableprocessor in a modular or integrated manner. As user herein, a processorincludes a multi-core processor on a same integrated chip, or multipleprocessing units on a single circuit board or networked. Based on thedisclosure and teachings provided herein, a person of ordinary skill inthe art will know and appreciate other ways and/or methods to implementembodiments of the present invention using hardware and a combination ofhardware and software.

Any of the software components or functions described in thisapplication may be implemented as software code to be executed by aprocessor using any suitable computer language such as, for example,Java, C++ or Perl using, for example, conventional or object-orientedtechniques. The software code may be stored as a series of instructionsor commands on a computer readable medium for storage and/ortransmission, suitable media include random access memory (RAM), a readonly memory (ROM), a magnetic medium such as a hard-drive or a floppydisk, or an optical medium such as a compact disk (CD) or DVD (digitalversatile disk), flash memory, and the like. The computer readablemedium may be any combination of such storage or transmission devices.

Such programs may also be encoded and transmitted using carrier signalsadapted for transmission via wired, optical, and/or wireless networksconforming to a variety of protocols, including the Internet. As such, acomputer readable medium according to an embodiment of the presentinvention may be created using a data signal encoded with such programs.Computer readable media encoded with the program code may be packagedwith a compatible device or provided separately from other devices(e.g., via Internet download). Any such computer readable medium mayreside on or within a single computer program product (e.g. a harddrive, a CD, or an entire computer system), and may be present on orwithin different computer program products within a system or network. Acomputer system may include a monitor, printer, or other suitabledisplay for providing any of the results mentioned herein to a user.

Any of the methods described herein may be totally or partiallyperformed with a computer system including one or more processors, whichcan be configured to perform the steps. Thus, embodiments can bedirected to computer systems configured to perform the steps of any ofthe methods described herein, potentially with different componentsperforming a respective steps or a respective group of steps. Althoughpresented as numbered steps, steps of methods herein can be performed ata same time or in a different order. Additionally, portions of thesesteps may be used with portions of other steps from other methods. Also,all or portions of a step may be optional. Additionally, any of thesteps of any of the methods can be performed with modules, circuits, orother means for performing these steps.

The specific details of particular embodiments may be combined in anysuitable manner without departing from the spirit and scope ofembodiments of the invention. However, other embodiments of theinvention may be directed to specific embodiments relating to eachindividual aspect, or specific combinations of these individual aspects.

The above description of exemplary embodiments of the invention has beenpresented for the purposes of illustration and description. It is notintended to be exhaustive or to limit the invention to the precise formdescribed, and many modifications and variations are possible in lightof the teaching above. The embodiments were chosen and described inorder to best explain the principles of the invention and its practicalapplications to thereby enable others skilled in the art to best utilizethe invention in various embodiments and with various modifications asare suited to the particular use contemplated.

A recitation of “a”, “an” or “the” is intended to mean “one or more”unless specifically indicated to the contrary.

All patents, patent applications, publications, and descriptionsmentioned here are incorporated by reference in their entirety for allpurposes. None is admitted to be prior art.

1. A method of analyzing a biological sample of an organism, thebiological sample including nucleic acid molecules, wherein at leastsome of the nucleic acid molecules are cell-free, the method comprising:analyzing a plurality of DNA molecules from the biological sample,wherein analyzing a DNA molecule comprises: determining a size of theDNA molecule, and comparing the size of the DNA molecule with athreshold value; determining, with a computer system, an amount of theDNA molecules having sizes below the threshold value; and estimating afirst level of an auto-immune disease in the organism based upon theamount.
 2. The method of claim 1, wherein the amount is a percentage. 3.The method of claim 1, further comprising: designating a first peak sizeof DNA molecules, wherein the first peak size is less than the thresholdvalue; designating a second peak size of DNA molecules, wherein thesecond peak size is greater than the threshold value; determining afirst peak number, wherein the first peak number is the number of theDNA molecules having sizes within a specified range of the first peaksize; determining a second peak number, wherein the second peak numberis the number of the DNA molecules having sizes within a specified rangeof the second peak size; calculating a ratio of the first peak number tothe second peak number; and estimating a second level of an auto-immunedisease in the organism based upon the ratio.
 4. The method of claim 3,wherein the first peak size is equal to the mean, median, or mode sizeof the DNA molecules having sizes less than the threshold value, and thesecond peak size is equal to the mean, median, or mode size of the DNAmolecules having sizes greater than the threshold value.
 5. A method ofevaluating a treatment for an auto-immune disease in an organism, themethod comprising: analyzing a pre-treatment biological sample accordingto claim 1, wherein the pre-treatment biological sample is obtained fromthe organism prior to treatment, and estimating a pre-treatment level ofthe auto-immune disease in the organism; analyzing a post-treatmentbiological sample according to claim 1, wherein the post-treatmentbiological sample is obtained from the organism subsequent to treatment,and estimating a post-treatment level of the auto-immune disease in theorganism; and comparing the pre-treatment level of the auto-immunedisease with the post-treatment level of the auto-immune disease todetermine a prognosis of the treatment.
 6. The method of claim 5,wherein the treatment is considered to be effective if thepost-treatment level of the auto-immune disease is lower than thepre-treatment level of the auto-immune disease.
 7. The method of claim5, further comprising: determining a change between the pre-treatmentlevel and the post-treatment level; and determining a degree ofeffectiveness based on the change.
 8. The method of claim 7, wherein thechange is determined by calculating a difference of or a ratio betweenthe pre-treatment level and the post-treatment level.
 9. A method ofanalyzing a biological sample of an organism, the biological sampleincluding nucleic acid molecules, wherein at least some of the nucleicacid molecules are cell-free, the method comprising: analyzing aplurality of DNA molecules from the biological sample, wherein analyzinga DNA molecule includes: determining whether the DNA molecule ismethylated at one or more sites; calculating, with a computer system, afirst methylation level based on the methylation determined at sites ofthe DNA molecules; comparing the first methylation level to a firstreference value; and estimating a first level of an auto-immune diseasein the organism based upon the comparison.
 10. The method of claim 9,wherein the DNA molecules used to calculate the first methylation levelhave a specified size.
 11. The method of claim 9, wherein calculatingthe first methylation level includes: for each of a plurality of firstsites: determining a respective number of DNA molecules that aremethylated at the first site; calculating the first methylation levelbased on the respective numbers of DNA molecules methylated at theplurality of first sites.
 12. The method of claim 9, wherein calculatingthe first methylation level includes: for each DNA molecule: calculatingan amount of the one or more sites that are methylated; summing theamounts for the DNA molecules to obtain a total amount; and normalizingthe total amount to obtain the first methylation level.
 13. The methodof claim 9, wherein the first methylation level is calculated for aplurality of first sites of a genome of the organism, furthercomprising: for each of a plurality of second sites: determining arespective number of DNA molecules that are methylated at the secondsite; calculating a second methylation level based on the respectivenumbers of DNA molecules methylated at the plurality of second sites;comparing the second methylation level to a second reference value; andestimating a second level of the auto-immune disease in the organismbased upon the comparison of the second methylation level to the secondreference value.
 14. The method of claim 13, further comprisingcomparing the first level of the auto-immune disease with the secondlevel of the auto-immune disease to determine a classification ofwhether the organism has the auto-immune disease.
 15. The method ofclaim 14, wherein comparing the first level with the second levelincludes determining a parameter between the first level and the secondlevel, and comparing the parameter to a cutoff value.
 16. The method ofclaim 15, wherein the parameter includes a difference or a ratio betweenthe first level and the second level.
 17. The method of claim 13,wherein the plurality of first sites occur in repeat regions of thegenome of the organism, and the plurality of second sites occur innon-repeat regions of the genome of the organism.
 18. The method ofclaim 9, wherein determining whether the DNA molecule is methylated atone or more sites includes: performing methylation-aware sequencing. 19.A method of analyzing a biological sample of an organism, the biologicalsample including nucleic acid molecules, wherein at least some of thenucleic acid molecules are cell-free, the method comprising: analyzing aplurality of DNA molecules from the biological sample, wherein analyzinga DNA molecule includes: determining a location of the DNA molecule in agenome of the organism; determining whether the DNA molecule ismethylated at one or more sites; for each of a first plurality ofgenomic regions: determining, with a computer system, a methylationdensity at a plurality of sites in the genomic region based on theanalysis of DNA molecules in the genomic region; comparing themethylation density to a first threshold to determine whether the regionis hypomethylated; calculating a first amount of genomic regions thatare hypomethylated; and estimating a level of an auto-immune disease inthe organism based upon the first amount.
 20. The method of claim 19,wherein a genomic region is hypomethylated if the methylation density isless than the first threshold.
 21. The method of claim 19, furthercomprising: for each of a second plurality of genomic regions: comparingthe methylation density to a second threshold to determine whether theregion is hypermethylated, and calculating a second amount of genomicregions that are hypermethylated, wherein estimating a level of anauto-immune disease in the organism is further based on the secondamount.
 22. The method of claim 21, wherein the first plurality ofregions is the same as the second plurality of regions.
 23. The methodof claim 21, wherein a region is hypermethylated if the methylationdensity exceeds the second threshold.
 24. The method of claim 21,wherein a difference between the second threshold and a reference valueequals the difference between the reference value and the firstthreshold, and wherein the reference value is a statistical value of themethylation densities determined for a plurality of genomic regions ofone or more other organisms.
 25. The method of claim 21, wherein thefirst and second thresholds for a genomic region are determined based ona statistical variation in the methylation densities determined for aplurality of genomic regions.
 26. The method of claim 19, wherein thegenomic regions are non-overlapping.
 27. The method of claim 19, whereinthe genomic regions are contiguous.
 28. The method of claim 19, whereinthe genomic regions are of equal size.
 29. The method of claim 28,wherein the size of each genomic region is from about 100 kb to about 10Mb.
 30. The method of claim 19, wherein the first threshold for agenomic region reflects statistical variation in the methylationdensities determined for a plurality of genomic regions.
 31. A method ofanalyzing a biological sample of an organism, the biological sampleincluding nucleic acid molecules, wherein at least some of the nucleicacid molecules are cell-free, the method comprising: analyzing aplurality of DNA molecules from the biological sample, wherein analyzinga DNA molecule comprises: determining a size of the DNA molecule, anddetermining whether the DNA molecule is methylated at one or more sites;for a first size: calculating, with a computer system, a firstmethylation level based on the determined methylation for DNA moleculeshaving the first size; comparing the first methylation level to athreshold methylation level; and estimating a level of an auto-immunedisease in the organism based upon the comparison.
 32. The method ofclaim 31, wherein the first size is a range of sizes having a minimumand maximum, and the maximum is 10, 20, 30, 40, 50, 60, 70, 80, 90, 100,110, 120, 130, 140, or 150 bp.
 33. The method of claim 31, wherein thefirst size is a range of sizes having a minimum and maximum, and thedifference between the minimum and maximum is 10, 20, 30, 40, 50, 60,70, 80, 90, 100, 110, 120, 130, 140, or 150 bp.
 34. The method of claim31, further comprising for a second size: calculating a secondmethylation level based on the determined methylation for DNA moleculeshaving the second size; wherein the second size is greater than thefirst size, and wherein estimating the level of the auto-immune diseasein the organism is further based on a ratio of the first methylationlevel to the second methylation level.
 35. The method of claim 31,wherein the auto-immune disease is detected if the first methylationlevel is less than the threshold methylation level.
 36. A method ofanalyzing a biological sample of an organism, the biological sampleincluding nucleic acid molecules, wherein at least some of the nucleicacid molecules are cell-free, the method comprising: for each of aplurality of nucleic acid molecules from the biological sample,identifying a location of the nucleic acid molecule in a referencegenome of the organism; for each of a plurality of genomic regions:identifying a respective group of nucleic acid molecules as being fromthe genomic region based on the identified locations; calculating, witha computer system, a respective value of the respective group of nucleicacid molecules, wherein the respective value defines a property of thenucleic acid molecules of the respective group; and comparing therespective value to a reference value to determine a classification ofwhether the genomic region exhibits an increased or decreased measuredgenomic representation; determining an amount of genomic regionsclassified as exhibiting an increased or decreased measured genomicrepresentation; comparing the amount to a threshold amount; andestimating a first level of an auto-immune disease in the organism basedupon the comparison.
 37. The method of claim 36, wherein the respectivevalue for each genomic region is based on the number of nucleic acidmolecules in the respective group for the genomic region.
 38. The methodof claim 36, wherein the respective value for each genomic regioncorresponds to a statistical value of a size distribution of the nucleicacid molecules in the respective group for the genomic region.
 39. Themethod of claim 36, wherein the reference value for each genomic regionis based on the respective value calculated for the genomic region usingone or more control biological samples.
 40. The method of claim 39,wherein the reference value is the mean of the respective valuescalculated for the genomic region using a plurality of controlbiological samples.
 41. The method of claim 36, wherein comparing therespective value to the reference value for each genomic regioncomprises calculating a difference between the respective value and thereference value, and comparing the difference to a cutoff.
 42. Themethod of claim 41, wherein the cutoff is a z-score.
 43. The method ofclaim 36, wherein the amount and threshold amount are based on numbersof genomic regions of the plurality of genomic regions.
 44. The methodof claim 36, wherein the genomic regions are non-overlapping.
 45. Themethod of claim 36, wherein the genomic regions are contiguous.
 46. Themethod of claim 36, wherein the genomic regions are of equal size. 47.The method of claim 46, wherein the size of each genomic region is fromabout 100 kb to about 10 Mb.
 48. The method of claim 1, wherein thebiological sample is plasma.
 49. The method of claim 1, wherein thebiological sample is an IgG-bound fraction.
 50. The method of claim 1,further comprising selecting nucleic acid molecules using antibodies.51. The method of claim 1, wherein the auto-immune disease is SLE.
 52. Acomputer product comprising a non-transitory computer readable mediumstoring a plurality of instructions that when executed control acomputer system to perform the method of claim 1.